Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, anchored by Madison and surrounding areas with a Cook PVI around D+21. Pocan secured the Democratic nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly 88% of the vote against a minor challenger. No Republican candidate filed by the June 2026 deadline, leaving the November 3 general election without major-party opposition. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unexpected independent or write-in surge, a late health or ethics development affecting Pocan, or court-ordered redistricting before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$102,544 交易量
$102,544 交易量
2026-11-03
马克·波坎（民主党）
98%
共和党
1%
$102,544 交易量
$102,544 交易量
2026-11-03
马克·波坎（民主党）
$62,437 交易量
98%
共和党
$40,107 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, anchored by Madison and surrounding areas with a Cook PVI around D+21. Pocan secured the Democratic nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly 88% of the vote against a minor challenger. No Republican candidate filed by the June 2026 deadline, leaving the November 3 general election without major-party opposition. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unexpected independent or write-in surge, a late health or ethics development affecting Pocan, or court-ordered redistricting before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$102,544结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, anchored by Madison and surrounding areas with a Cook PVI around D+21. Pocan secured the Democratic nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly 88% of the vote against a minor challenger. No Republican candidate filed by the June 2026 deadline, leaving the November 3 general election without major-party opposition. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unexpected independent or write-in surge, a late health or ethics development affecting Pocan, or court-ordered redistricting before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$102,544结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District due to the district’s consistent Democratic lean, anchored by Madison and surrounding areas with a Cook PVI around D+21. Pocan secured the Democratic nomination in the August 2026 primary with roughly 88% of the vote against a minor challenger. No Republican candidate filed by the June 2026 deadline, leaving the November 3 general election without major-party opposition. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this structural advantage. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unexpected independent or write-in surge, a late health or ethics development affecting Pocan, or court-ordered redistricting before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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