Incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a commanding position in the WA-03 House race due to her established record as a centrist Blue Dog Democrat who has twice carried the swing district, combined with superior fundraising and institutional support that have translated into stronger name recognition and voter outreach capacity ahead of the November general election. The August top-two primary confirmed her and state Senate Minority Leader John Braun as the nominees, with both clearing roughly 39 percent amid a crowded field. Recent outside spending has accelerated, including significant Republican-aligned efforts opposing Perez, yet trader consensus appears anchored in her incumbency edge and the district's mixed voting patterns. Scenarios that could narrow her lead include strong turnout mobilization for Braun tied to national Republican messaging, the impact of their scheduled October debate, or shifts in voter sentiment driven by late-cycle polling trends or economic conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,802 交易量
$35,802 交易量
2026-11-04
玛丽·格卢森坎普·佩雷斯（民主党）
91%
约翰·布劳恩（共和党）
11%
$35,802 交易量
$35,802 交易量
2026-11-04
玛丽·格卢森坎普·佩雷斯（民主党）
$24,594 交易量
91%
约翰·布劳恩（共和党）
$11,208 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a commanding position in the WA-03 House race due to her established record as a centrist Blue Dog Democrat who has twice carried the swing district, combined with superior fundraising and institutional support that have translated into stronger name recognition and voter outreach capacity ahead of the November general election. The August top-two primary confirmed her and state Senate Minority Leader John Braun as the nominees, with both clearing roughly 39 percent amid a crowded field. Recent outside spending has accelerated, including significant Republican-aligned efforts opposing Perez, yet trader consensus appears anchored in her incumbency edge and the district's mixed voting patterns. Scenarios that could narrow her lead include strong turnout mobilization for Braun tied to national Republican messaging, the impact of their scheduled October debate, or shifts in voter sentiment driven by late-cycle polling trends or economic conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$35,802结束日期
2026-11-05市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a commanding position in the WA-03 House race due to her established record as a centrist Blue Dog Democrat who has twice carried the swing district, combined with superior fundraising and institutional support that have translated into stronger name recognition and voter outreach capacity ahead of the November general election. The August top-two primary confirmed her and state Senate Minority Leader John Braun as the nominees, with both clearing roughly 39 percent amid a crowded field. Recent outside spending has accelerated, including significant Republican-aligned efforts opposing Perez, yet trader consensus appears anchored in her incumbency edge and the district's mixed voting patterns. Scenarios that could narrow her lead include strong turnout mobilization for Braun tied to national Republican messaging, the impact of their scheduled October debate, or shifts in voter sentiment driven by late-cycle polling trends or economic conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,802结束日期
2026-11-05市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETIncumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a commanding position in the WA-03 House race due to her established record as a centrist Blue Dog Democrat who has twice carried the swing district, combined with superior fundraising and institutional support that have translated into stronger name recognition and voter outreach capacity ahead of the November general election. The August top-two primary confirmed her and state Senate Minority Leader John Braun as the nominees, with both clearing roughly 39 percent amid a crowded field. Recent outside spending has accelerated, including significant Republican-aligned efforts opposing Perez, yet trader consensus appears anchored in her incumbency edge and the district's mixed voting patterns. Scenarios that could narrow her lead include strong turnout mobilization for Braun tied to national Republican messaging, the impact of their scheduled October debate, or shifts in voter sentiment driven by late-cycle polling trends or economic conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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