Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, his long tenure since 2009, and strong fundraising that has produced over $16 million in cash on hand. Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who secured his party's nomination in the August primary, trails significantly in available polling from earlier in the cycle and operates with far fewer resources. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices aligns with these structural advantages for the incumbent, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from late-cycle national conditions, turnout patterns in key areas, or unforeseen developments before the November 3 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,148 交易量
$23,148 交易量
2026-11-02
马克·沃纳（民主党）
96%
伯特·水泽（共和党）
5%
$23,148 交易量
$23,148 交易量
2026-11-02
马克·沃纳（民主党）
$15,894 交易量
96%
伯特·水泽（共和党）
$7,254 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, his long tenure since 2009, and strong fundraising that has produced over $16 million in cash on hand. Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who secured his party's nomination in the August primary, trails significantly in available polling from earlier in the cycle and operates with far fewer resources. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices aligns with these structural advantages for the incumbent, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from late-cycle national conditions, turnout patterns in key areas, or unforeseen developments before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$23,148结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, his long tenure since 2009, and strong fundraising that has produced over $16 million in cash on hand. Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who secured his party's nomination in the August primary, trails significantly in available polling from earlier in the cycle and operates with far fewer resources. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices aligns with these structural advantages for the incumbent, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from late-cycle national conditions, turnout patterns in key areas, or unforeseen developments before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$23,148结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETIncumbent Democrat Mark Warner holds a commanding position in the 2026 Virginia Senate race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean in federal contests, his long tenure since 2009, and strong fundraising that has produced over $16 million in cash on hand. Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who secured his party's nomination in the August primary, trails significantly in available polling from earlier in the cycle and operates with far fewer resources. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as solidly Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current market prices aligns with these structural advantages for the incumbent, though outcomes remain subject to shifts from late-cycle national conditions, turnout patterns in key areas, or unforeseen developments before the November 3 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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