Court-ordered redistricting created a Democratic-leaning Utah's 1st Congressional District centered on Salt Lake City and its suburbs, giving Democrats their strongest House opportunity in the state in years. Ben McAdams secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against progressive challengers, drawing on his prior congressional experience and fundraising edge. Republican nominee Riley Owen, selected at convention with modest resources, faces an uphill path in the general election on November 3. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with nonpartisan ratings labeling the seat Solid or Safe Democrat, though outcomes remain subject to turnout patterns, national conditions, or late developments that could narrow margins in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$42,110 交易量
$42,110 交易量
本·麦克亚当斯(民主党)
95%
赖利·欧文(共和党)
4%
$42,110 交易量
$42,110 交易量
本·麦克亚当斯(民主党)
95%
赖利·欧文(共和党)
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Court-ordered redistricting created a Democratic-leaning Utah's 1st Congressional District centered on Salt Lake City and its suburbs, giving Democrats their strongest House opportunity in the state in years. Ben McAdams secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 60 percent of the vote against progressive challengers, drawing on his prior congressional experience and fundraising edge. Republican nominee Riley Owen, selected at convention with modest resources, faces an uphill path in the general election on November 3. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with nonpartisan ratings labeling the seat Solid or Safe Democrat, though outcomes remain subject to turnout patterns, national conditions, or late developments that could narrow margins in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题