Blake Moore's commanding position in the UT-02 race stems from the district's solidly Republican composition following 2025 court-ordered redistricting, which shifted boundaries to encompass northern Utah counties including Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and most of Weber. Moore secured the GOP nomination in June 2026 by defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the primary, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, along with a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million. Democratic nominee Peter Crosby faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have historically prevailed by wide margins. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt national political realignment remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,841 交易量
$15,841 交易量
2026-11-03
布莱克·摩尔（共和党）
95%
彼得·克罗斯比（民主党）
5%
$15,841 交易量
$15,841 交易量
2026-11-03
布莱克·摩尔（共和党）
$2,462 交易量
95%
彼得·克罗斯比（民主党）
$13,379 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Blake Moore's commanding position in the UT-02 race stems from the district's solidly Republican composition following 2025 court-ordered redistricting, which shifted boundaries to encompass northern Utah counties including Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and most of Weber. Moore secured the GOP nomination in June 2026 by defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the primary, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, along with a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million. Democratic nominee Peter Crosby faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have historically prevailed by wide margins. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt national political realignment remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$15,841结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Blake Moore's commanding position in the UT-02 race stems from the district's solidly Republican composition following 2025 court-ordered redistricting, which shifted boundaries to encompass northern Utah counties including Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and most of Weber. Moore secured the GOP nomination in June 2026 by defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the primary, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, along with a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million. Democratic nominee Peter Crosby faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have historically prevailed by wide margins. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt national political realignment remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,841结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETBlake Moore's commanding position in the UT-02 race stems from the district's solidly Republican composition following 2025 court-ordered redistricting, which shifted boundaries to encompass northern Utah counties including Box Elder, Cache, Davis, Rich, and most of Weber. Moore secured the GOP nomination in June 2026 by defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the primary, bolstered by endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, along with a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $2 million. Democratic nominee Peter Crosby faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have historically prevailed by wide margins. All major forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt national political realignment remain the primary variables that could alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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