Incumbent Republican John Carter holds a commanding position in Texas's 31st congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and prior results where Donald Trump carried it by double digits. Carter, first elected in 2002 and a senior member of the Appropriations Committee, secured his party's nomination with roughly 60 percent in the March primary against multiple challengers and carries endorsements from key party figures. The general election matchup on November 3 pits him against Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker in a district anchored by Williamson and Bell counties. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Carter's 64 percent win in 2024. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the 84-year-old incumbent represent the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$45,380 交易量
$45,380 交易量
2026-11-02
约翰·卡特 (共和党)
93%
贾斯汀·厄尔利（民主党）
7%
$45,380 交易量
$45,380 交易量
2026-11-02
约翰·卡特 (共和党)
$24,919 交易量
93%
贾斯汀·厄尔利（民主党）
$20,462 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter holds a commanding position in Texas's 31st congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and prior results where Donald Trump carried it by double digits. Carter, first elected in 2002 and a senior member of the Appropriations Committee, secured his party's nomination with roughly 60 percent in the March primary against multiple challengers and carries endorsements from key party figures. The general election matchup on November 3 pits him against Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker in a district anchored by Williamson and Bell counties. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Carter's 64 percent win in 2024. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the 84-year-old incumbent represent the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$45,380结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter holds a commanding position in Texas's 31st congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and prior results where Donald Trump carried it by double digits. Carter, first elected in 2002 and a senior member of the Appropriations Committee, secured his party's nomination with roughly 60 percent in the March primary against multiple challengers and carries endorsements from key party figures. The general election matchup on November 3 pits him against Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker in a district anchored by Williamson and Bell counties. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Carter's 64 percent win in 2024. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the 84-year-old incumbent represent the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,380结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETIncumbent Republican John Carter holds a commanding position in Texas's 31st congressional district due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and prior results where Donald Trump carried it by double digits. Carter, first elected in 2002 and a senior member of the Appropriations Committee, secured his party's nomination with roughly 60 percent in the March primary against multiple challengers and carries endorsements from key party figures. The general election matchup on November 3 pits him against Democrat Justin Early and Green Party candidate Greg Stoker in a district anchored by Williamson and Bell counties. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Carter's 64 percent win in 2024. Late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the 84-year-old incumbent represent the primary variables that could narrow the gap before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题