**Wellington, New Zealand, experiences peak September wind gusts shaped by its position in the Roaring Forties and the funneling effect of Cook Strait, which accelerates westerly and northwesterly flows between the North and South Islands.** Spring marks the windiest season, with mean speeds rising through the month and frequent gusts exceeding 90 km/h at exposed sites like the airport or Kelburn. As of mid-to-late September 2026, current forecasts and observations show gusts primarily in the 55–74 km/h range amid typical frontal passages, with no major extratropical systems yet producing outliers above 102 km/h. An ongoing or recent strong El Niño phase has favored enhanced westerlies, supporting the market-implied 73% likelihood of a seasonal peak in the 90–101 km/h band while leaving room for a late-month intensification that could push into the 102+ km/h tier. Official MetService and NIWA monitoring, including model consensus on remaining steering patterns, will determine the final maximum before month-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于90 to 101 km/h 74%
102 km/h or above 27%
89 km/h or below <1%
89 km/h or below
1%
90 to 101 km/h
74%
102 km/h or above
27%
90 to 101 km/h 74%
102 km/h or above 27%
89 km/h or below <1%
89 km/h or below
1%
90 to 101 km/h
74%
102 km/h or above
27%
The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=9&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=9&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
**Wellington, New Zealand, experiences peak September wind gusts shaped by its position in the Roaring Forties and the funneling effect of Cook Strait, which accelerates westerly and northwesterly flows between the North and South Islands.** Spring marks the windiest season, with mean speeds rising through the month and frequent gusts exceeding 90 km/h at exposed sites like the airport or Kelburn. As of mid-to-late September 2026, current forecasts and observations show gusts primarily in the 55–74 km/h range amid typical frontal passages, with no major extratropical systems yet producing outliers above 102 km/h. An ongoing or recent strong El Niño phase has favored enhanced westerlies, supporting the market-implied 73% likelihood of a seasonal peak in the 90–101 km/h band while leaving room for a late-month intensification that could push into the 102+ km/h tier. Official MetService and NIWA monitoring, including model consensus on remaining steering patterns, will determine the final maximum before month-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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