The Debut and Wild Horse Nine lead early trader sentiment in the wide-open 2027 Original Screenplay race, with implied probabilities reflecting strong A24 and Searchlight campaigns built on Jesse Eisenberg’s intimate, festival-tested script and Martin McDonagh’s established awards pedigree. Recent Telluride and Venice screenings have sharpened focus on personal storytelling versus McDonagh’s ensemble-driven narrative, while Digger’s Alejandro G. Iñárritu-Tom Cruise pairing and titles like Fjord, Club Kid, and Josephine sit further back pending wider reviews and guild traction. WGA nominations, precursor wins, and late-year release positioning will likely separate contenders in this still-fluid field before nominations voting opens in January.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
The Debut 37.0%
Wild Horse Nine 34%
Digger 9.1%
Obsession 8%
$37,534 交易量
$37,534 交易量
2027-03-14
The Debut
37%
Wild Horse Nine
34%
Digger
9%
Obsession
8%
Elsinore
7%
The Drama
4%
The Invite
3%
Josephine
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
3%
The Odyssey
3%
Fjord
1%
Club Kid
1%
A Place in Hell
1%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
1%
Forgotten Island
1%
The Black Ball
1%
Fatherland
<1%
The Debut 37.0%
Wild Horse Nine 34%
Digger 9.1%
Obsession 8%
$37,534 交易量
$37,534 交易量
2027-03-14
The Debut
$1,547 交易量
37%
Wild Horse Nine
$27,467 交易量
34%
Digger
$3,406 交易量
9%
Obsession
$899 交易量
8%
Elsinore
$878 交易量
7%
The Drama
$59 交易量
4%
The Invite
$80 交易量
3%
Josephine
$59 交易量
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$102 交易量
3%
The Odyssey
$81 交易量
3%
Fjord
$1,702 交易量
1%
Club Kid
$555 交易量
1%
A Place in Hell
$122 交易量
1%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$168 交易量
1%
Forgotten Island
$142 交易量
1%
The Black Ball
$165 交易量
1%
Fatherland
$102 交易量
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Debut and Wild Horse Nine lead early trader sentiment in the wide-open 2027 Original Screenplay race, with implied probabilities reflecting strong A24 and Searchlight campaigns built on Jesse Eisenberg’s intimate, festival-tested script and Martin McDonagh’s established awards pedigree. Recent Telluride and Venice screenings have sharpened focus on personal storytelling versus McDonagh’s ensemble-driven narrative, while Digger’s Alejandro G. Iñárritu-Tom Cruise pairing and titles like Fjord, Club Kid, and Josephine sit further back pending wider reviews and guild traction. WGA nominations, precursor wins, and late-year release positioning will likely separate contenders in this still-fluid field before nominations voting opens in January.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
交易量
$37,534结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Debut and Wild Horse Nine lead early trader sentiment in the wide-open 2027 Original Screenplay race, with implied probabilities reflecting strong A24 and Searchlight campaigns built on Jesse Eisenberg’s intimate, festival-tested script and Martin McDonagh’s established awards pedigree. Recent Telluride and Venice screenings have sharpened focus on personal storytelling versus McDonagh’s ensemble-driven narrative, while Digger’s Alejandro G. Iñárritu-Tom Cruise pairing and titles like Fjord, Club Kid, and Josephine sit further back pending wider reviews and guild traction. WGA nominations, precursor wins, and late-year release positioning will likely separate contenders in this still-fluid field before nominations voting opens in January.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$37,534结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETThe Debut and Wild Horse Nine lead early trader sentiment in the wide-open 2027 Original Screenplay race, with implied probabilities reflecting strong A24 and Searchlight campaigns built on Jesse Eisenberg’s intimate, festival-tested script and Martin McDonagh’s established awards pedigree. Recent Telluride and Venice screenings have sharpened focus on personal storytelling versus McDonagh’s ensemble-driven narrative, while Digger’s Alejandro G. Iñárritu-Tom Cruise pairing and titles like Fjord, Club Kid, and Josephine sit further back pending wider reviews and guild traction. WGA nominations, precursor wins, and late-year release positioning will likely separate contenders in this still-fluid field before nominations voting opens in January.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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