BTS’s “Swim,” the lead single from the group’s album *Arirang*, dominates trader sentiment for the 2026 VMA Best K-Pop category at an 87% implied probability. The track’s March release sparked immediate commercial success, including a Billboard Hot 100 debut at No. 1 and sustained chart presence, while its dual nomination for Song of the Year has amplified industry and fan momentum ahead of the September 27 ceremony. BTS’s established record of multiple prior wins in the category further reinforces the frontrunner status among voters. The remaining nominees—Lisa’s “Dream,” Le Sserafim’s “Spaghetti” featuring J-Hope, Blackpink’s “Jump,” Katseye’s “Pinky Up,” and Cortis’s “RedRed”—trail significantly, reflecting limited comparable chart traction or precursor signals in the weeks since nominations were announced in August. Fan voting remains open through September 25, leaving room for late surges but underscoring the current market consensus around BTS’s lead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于VMA最佳K-Pop 2026
VMA最佳K-Pop 2026
Swim（BTS） 87%
Dream（Lisa与坂口健太郎合作） 8%
Pinky Up（Katseye） 4.5%
Spaghetti（Le Sserafim与J-Hope合作） 4.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
Swim（BTS）
87%
Dream（Lisa与坂口健太郎合作）
8%
Pinky Up（Katseye）
5%
Spaghetti（Le Sserafim与J-Hope合作）
4%
Jump（Blackpink）
4%
RedRed（Cortis）
3%
Swim（BTS） 87%
Dream（Lisa与坂口健太郎合作） 8%
Pinky Up（Katseye） 4.5%
Spaghetti（Le Sserafim与J-Hope合作） 4.5%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
Swim（BTS）
$102 交易量
87%
Dream（Lisa与坂口健太郎合作）
$0 交易量
8%
Pinky Up（Katseye）
$0 交易量
5%
Spaghetti（Le Sserafim与J-Hope合作）
$0 交易量
4%
Jump（Blackpink）
$0 交易量
4%
RedRed（Cortis）
$0 交易量
3%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BTS’s “Swim,” the lead single from the group’s album *Arirang*, dominates trader sentiment for the 2026 VMA Best K-Pop category at an 87% implied probability. The track’s March release sparked immediate commercial success, including a Billboard Hot 100 debut at No. 1 and sustained chart presence, while its dual nomination for Song of the Year has amplified industry and fan momentum ahead of the September 27 ceremony. BTS’s established record of multiple prior wins in the category further reinforces the frontrunner status among voters. The remaining nominees—Lisa’s “Dream,” Le Sserafim’s “Spaghetti” featuring J-Hope, Blackpink’s “Jump,” Katseye’s “Pinky Up,” and Cortis’s “RedRed”—trail significantly, reflecting limited comparable chart traction or precursor signals in the weeks since nominations were announced in August. Fan voting remains open through September 25, leaving room for late surges but underscoring the current market consensus around BTS’s lead.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
交易量
$102结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ETThe MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BTS’s “Swim,” the lead single from the group’s album *Arirang*, dominates trader sentiment for the 2026 VMA Best K-Pop category at an 87% implied probability. The track’s March release sparked immediate commercial success, including a Billboard Hot 100 debut at No. 1 and sustained chart presence, while its dual nomination for Song of the Year has amplified industry and fan momentum ahead of the September 27 ceremony. BTS’s established record of multiple prior wins in the category further reinforces the frontrunner status among voters. The remaining nominees—Lisa’s “Dream,” Le Sserafim’s “Spaghetti” featuring J-Hope, Blackpink’s “Jump,” Katseye’s “Pinky Up,” and Cortis’s “RedRed”—trail significantly, reflecting limited comparable chart traction or precursor signals in the weeks since nominations were announced in August. Fan voting remains open through September 25, leaving room for late surges but underscoring the current market consensus around BTS’s lead.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best K-Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$102结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ETBTS’s “Swim,” the lead single from the group’s album *Arirang*, dominates trader sentiment for the 2026 VMA Best K-Pop category at an 87% implied probability. The track’s March release sparked immediate commercial success, including a Billboard Hot 100 debut at No. 1 and sustained chart presence, while its dual nomination for Song of the Year has amplified industry and fan momentum ahead of the September 27 ceremony. BTS’s established record of multiple prior wins in the category further reinforces the frontrunner status among voters. The remaining nominees—Lisa’s “Dream,” Le Sserafim’s “Spaghetti” featuring J-Hope, Blackpink’s “Jump,” Katseye’s “Pinky Up,” and Cortis’s “RedRed”—trail significantly, reflecting limited comparable chart traction or precursor signals in the weeks since nominations were announced in August. Fan voting remains open through September 25, leaving room for late surges but underscoring the current market consensus around BTS’s lead.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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