Sienna Spiro holds the edge in the 2026 VMA Best New Artist market due to her debut album *Visitor* debuting at No. 9 on the Billboard 200, the Hot 100 success of “Die on This Hill,” and more than a billion global streams, alongside Grammy precursor momentum. Recent confirmation of her VMA performance debut has further solidified trader consensus around her frontrunner status ahead of the Sept. 27 ceremony. The remaining nominees—Bella Kay, CORTIS, Magnus Ferrell, Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, and Stella Lefty—remain tightly bunched, with fan voting through the show itself creating room for late momentum shifts driven by social engagement or on-stage impact. Historical VMA voting patterns often reward breakout commercial visibility in this category, though the compressed timeline leaves limited runway for major swings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年VMA最佳新人
2026年VMA最佳新人
Sienna Spiro 53%
Cortis 38%
马尔科姆·托德 12%
Stella Lefty 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
Sienna Spiro
53%
Cortis
38%
马尔科姆·托德
12%
Stella Lefty
8%
Magnus Ferrell
5%
贝拉·凯
4%
Myles Smith
4%
Sienna Spiro 53%
Cortis 38%
马尔科姆·托德 12%
Stella Lefty 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-27
Sienna Spiro
$20 交易量
53%
Cortis
$20 交易量
38%
马尔科姆·托德
$1 交易量
12%
Stella Lefty
$0 交易量
8%
Magnus Ferrell
$40 交易量
5%
贝拉·凯
$21 交易量
4%
Myles Smith
$0 交易量
4%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sienna Spiro holds the edge in the 2026 VMA Best New Artist market due to her debut album *Visitor* debuting at No. 9 on the Billboard 200, the Hot 100 success of “Die on This Hill,” and more than a billion global streams, alongside Grammy precursor momentum. Recent confirmation of her VMA performance debut has further solidified trader consensus around her frontrunner status ahead of the Sept. 27 ceremony. The remaining nominees—Bella Kay, CORTIS, Magnus Ferrell, Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, and Stella Lefty—remain tightly bunched, with fan voting through the show itself creating room for late momentum shifts driven by social engagement or on-stage impact. Historical VMA voting patterns often reward breakout commercial visibility in this category, though the compressed timeline leaves limited runway for major swings.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
交易量
$102结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETThe MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sienna Spiro holds the edge in the 2026 VMA Best New Artist market due to her debut album *Visitor* debuting at No. 9 on the Billboard 200, the Hot 100 success of “Die on This Hill,” and more than a billion global streams, alongside Grammy precursor momentum. Recent confirmation of her VMA performance debut has further solidified trader consensus around her frontrunner status ahead of the Sept. 27 ceremony. The remaining nominees—Bella Kay, CORTIS, Magnus Ferrell, Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, and Stella Lefty—remain tightly bunched, with fan voting through the show itself creating room for late momentum shifts driven by social engagement or on-stage impact. Historical VMA voting patterns often reward breakout commercial visibility in this category, though the compressed timeline leaves limited runway for major swings.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$102结束日期
2026-09-28市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETSienna Spiro holds the edge in the 2026 VMA Best New Artist market due to her debut album *Visitor* debuting at No. 9 on the Billboard 200, the Hot 100 success of “Die on This Hill,” and more than a billion global streams, alongside Grammy precursor momentum. Recent confirmation of her VMA performance debut has further solidified trader consensus around her frontrunner status ahead of the Sept. 27 ceremony. The remaining nominees—Bella Kay, CORTIS, Magnus Ferrell, Malcolm Todd, Myles Smith, and Stella Lefty—remain tightly bunched, with fan voting through the show itself creating room for late momentum shifts driven by social engagement or on-stage impact. Historical VMA voting patterns often reward breakout commercial visibility in this category, though the compressed timeline leaves limited runway for major swings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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