With the 2027 Oscars still far off, trader sentiment for Best Picture centers on early positioning around high-profile 2026 releases from major directors and franchises. The Odyssey leads at 46.5% implied probability on the strength of Christopher Nolan’s pedigree and the film’s ambitious scope, while La Bola Negra trails at 32.5% amid strong critical anticipation for its storytelling. Dune: Part Three sits at 11.5% buoyed by franchise momentum from earlier entries. The broad field of lower-odds contenders, including Digger and Wild Horse Nine, underscores a wide-open race where upcoming guild nominations, festival screenings, and precursor awards will serve as key swing factors in shaping final voter consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于奥斯卡2027 ：最佳影片奖
奥斯卡2027 ：最佳影片奖
奥德赛 47%
La Bola Negra 33%
沙丘3 12%
Digger 5.0%
$231,483 交易量
$231,483 交易量
2027-03-14
奥德赛
47%
La Bola Negra
33%
沙丘3
12%
Digger
5%
野马九号
5%
首秀
2%
峡湾
2%
告别地球的人
1%
巨兽！
1%
邀请
1%
社会清算
<1%
猝不及防
<1%
戏剧
<1%
约瑟芬
<1%
克利夫·布斯历险记
<1%
Clarissa
<1%
土星归来
<1%
托尼
<1%
披露之日
<1%
祖国
<1%
迈克尔
<1%
复仇者联盟：末日审判
<1%
奥德赛 47%
La Bola Negra 33%
沙丘3 12%
Digger 5.0%
$231,483 交易量
$231,483 交易量
2027-03-14
奥德赛
$132,145 交易量
47%
La Bola Negra
$11,005 交易量
33%
沙丘3
$18,853 交易量
12%
Digger
$11,139 交易量
5%
野马九号
$8,681 交易量
5%
首秀
$6,169 交易量
2%
峡湾
$4,976 交易量
2%
告别地球的人
$4,797 交易量
1%
巨兽！
$4,829 交易量
1%
邀请
$4,647 交易量
1%
社会清算
$2,271 交易量
<1%
猝不及防
$4,506 交易量
<1%
戏剧
$1,626 交易量
<1%
约瑟芬
$1,672 交易量
<1%
克利夫·布斯历险记
$1,473 交易量
<1%
Clarissa
$1,440 交易量
<1%
土星归来
$1,455 交易量
<1%
托尼
$3,634 交易量
<1%
披露之日
$1,500 交易量
<1%
祖国
$1,435 交易量
<1%
迈克尔
$1,612 交易量
<1%
复仇者联盟：末日审判
$1,616 交易量
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars still far off, trader sentiment for Best Picture centers on early positioning around high-profile 2026 releases from major directors and franchises. The Odyssey leads at 46.5% implied probability on the strength of Christopher Nolan’s pedigree and the film’s ambitious scope, while La Bola Negra trails at 32.5% amid strong critical anticipation for its storytelling. Dune: Part Three sits at 11.5% buoyed by franchise momentum from earlier entries. The broad field of lower-odds contenders, including Digger and Wild Horse Nine, underscores a wide-open race where upcoming guild nominations, festival screenings, and precursor awards will serve as key swing factors in shaping final voter consensus.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET
交易量
$231,483结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars still far off, trader sentiment for Best Picture centers on early positioning around high-profile 2026 releases from major directors and franchises. The Odyssey leads at 46.5% implied probability on the strength of Christopher Nolan’s pedigree and the film’s ambitious scope, while La Bola Negra trails at 32.5% amid strong critical anticipation for its storytelling. Dune: Part Three sits at 11.5% buoyed by franchise momentum from earlier entries. The broad field of lower-odds contenders, including Digger and Wild Horse Nine, underscores a wide-open race where upcoming guild nominations, festival screenings, and precursor awards will serve as key swing factors in shaping final voter consensus.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$231,483结束日期
2027-03-14市场开放时间
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ETWith the 2027 Oscars still far off, trader sentiment for Best Picture centers on early positioning around high-profile 2026 releases from major directors and franchises. The Odyssey leads at 46.5% implied probability on the strength of Christopher Nolan’s pedigree and the film’s ambitious scope, while La Bola Negra trails at 32.5% amid strong critical anticipation for its storytelling. Dune: Part Three sits at 11.5% buoyed by franchise momentum from earlier entries. The broad field of lower-odds contenders, including Digger and Wild Horse Nine, underscores a wide-open race where upcoming guild nominations, festival screenings, and precursor awards will serve as key swing factors in shaping final voter consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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