Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding lead in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 18 points and Kamala Harris carrying the area by nearly 19 points in 2024. Uncontested primaries in June 2026 cleared the field for Norcross and Republican challenger Damon Galdo, while an independent candidate was removed from the ballot after failing signature requirements. Norcross maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2 million in cash on hand compared to Galdo’s minimal resources. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Democratic. Potential shifts remain limited to late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected national political realignments that could alter turnout or voter priorities before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$45,724 交易量
$45,724 交易量
2026-11-02
唐纳德·诺克罗斯（民主党）
95%
达蒙·加尔多（共和党）
6%
$45,724 交易量
$45,724 交易量
2026-11-02
唐纳德·诺克罗斯（民主党）
$27,440 交易量
95%
达蒙·加尔多（共和党）
$18,284 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding lead in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 18 points and Kamala Harris carrying the area by nearly 19 points in 2024. Uncontested primaries in June 2026 cleared the field for Norcross and Republican challenger Damon Galdo, while an independent candidate was removed from the ballot after failing signature requirements. Norcross maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2 million in cash on hand compared to Galdo’s minimal resources. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Democratic. Potential shifts remain limited to late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected national political realignments that could alter turnout or voter priorities before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$45,724结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding lead in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 18 points and Kamala Harris carrying the area by nearly 19 points in 2024. Uncontested primaries in June 2026 cleared the field for Norcross and Republican challenger Damon Galdo, while an independent candidate was removed from the ballot after failing signature requirements. Norcross maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2 million in cash on hand compared to Galdo’s minimal resources. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Democratic. Potential shifts remain limited to late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected national political realignments that could alter turnout or voter priorities before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$45,724结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding lead in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district due to the seat’s consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 18 points and Kamala Harris carrying the area by nearly 19 points in 2024. Uncontested primaries in June 2026 cleared the field for Norcross and Republican challenger Damon Galdo, while an independent candidate was removed from the ballot after failing signature requirements. Norcross maintains a substantial fundraising edge, with over $2 million in cash on hand compared to Galdo’s minimal resources. Forecasters rate the race as solidly Democratic. Potential shifts remain limited to late developments such as major scandals, health events, or unexpected national political realignments that could alter turnout or voter priorities before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题