The late withdrawal of incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards following a House Ethics Committee report and subsequent censure vote over staff misconduct created an opening for Democrat Jamie Ager, who secured the Democratic nomination in March and built a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $2 million. State Representative Jennifer Balkcom, selected by the district GOP executive committee in August to replace Edwards on the November 3, 2026 ballot, brings a conservative legislative record and recent endorsements including from the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program and President Trump, yet faces a compressed campaign window in a district that leaned Republican in 2024. Traders appear to weigh Ager’s resources, local roots, and the disruption to Republican continuity more heavily than the district’s underlying partisan tilt, though Balkcom’s ability to consolidate the base and appeal to unaffiliated voters remains a key variable ahead of Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,804 交易量
$15,804 交易量
2026-11-03
杰米·艾格（民主党）
64%
詹妮弗·巴尔科姆（共和党）
37%
$15,804 交易量
$15,804 交易量
2026-11-03
杰米·艾格（民主党）
$7,328 交易量
64%
詹妮弗·巴尔科姆（共和党）
$8,476 交易量
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The late withdrawal of incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards following a House Ethics Committee report and subsequent censure vote over staff misconduct created an opening for Democrat Jamie Ager, who secured the Democratic nomination in March and built a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $2 million. State Representative Jennifer Balkcom, selected by the district GOP executive committee in August to replace Edwards on the November 3, 2026 ballot, brings a conservative legislative record and recent endorsements including from the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program and President Trump, yet faces a compressed campaign window in a district that leaned Republican in 2024. Traders appear to weigh Ager’s resources, local roots, and the disruption to Republican continuity more heavily than the district’s underlying partisan tilt, though Balkcom’s ability to consolidate the base and appeal to unaffiliated voters remains a key variable ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
交易量
$15,804结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The late withdrawal of incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards following a House Ethics Committee report and subsequent censure vote over staff misconduct created an opening for Democrat Jamie Ager, who secured the Democratic nomination in March and built a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $2 million. State Representative Jennifer Balkcom, selected by the district GOP executive committee in August to replace Edwards on the November 3, 2026 ballot, brings a conservative legislative record and recent endorsements including from the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program and President Trump, yet faces a compressed campaign window in a district that leaned Republican in 2024. Traders appear to weigh Ager’s resources, local roots, and the disruption to Republican continuity more heavily than the district’s underlying partisan tilt, though Balkcom’s ability to consolidate the base and appeal to unaffiliated voters remains a key variable ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,804结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETThe late withdrawal of incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards following a House Ethics Committee report and subsequent censure vote over staff misconduct created an opening for Democrat Jamie Ager, who secured the Democratic nomination in March and built a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $2 million. State Representative Jennifer Balkcom, selected by the district GOP executive committee in August to replace Edwards on the November 3, 2026 ballot, brings a conservative legislative record and recent endorsements including from the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program and President Trump, yet faces a compressed campaign window in a district that leaned Republican in 2024. Traders appear to weigh Ager’s resources, local roots, and the disruption to Republican continuity more heavily than the district’s underlying partisan tilt, though Balkcom’s ability to consolidate the base and appeal to unaffiliated voters remains a key variable ahead of Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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