Wesley Bell holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 1st Congressional District due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in St. Louis and surrounding areas, combined with his status as incumbent after defeating Cori Bush in the August 2026 Democratic primary. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, and Republican nominee Paul Berry lacks the resources or district fit to mount a serious challenge ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97% for Bell reflects this structural advantage and absence of recent developments such as scandals, shifts in voter turnout patterns, or national events that have historically altered outcomes in comparable districts. A major late-cycle disruption remains the primary scenario that could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$36,824 交易量
$36,824 交易量
2026-11-02
韦斯利·贝尔（民主党）
97%
保罗·贝瑞（共和党）
2%
$36,824 交易量
$36,824 交易量
2026-11-02
韦斯利·贝尔（民主党）
$22,853 交易量
97%
保罗·贝瑞（共和党）
$13,971 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 1st Congressional District due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in St. Louis and surrounding areas, combined with his status as incumbent after defeating Cori Bush in the August 2026 Democratic primary. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, and Republican nominee Paul Berry lacks the resources or district fit to mount a serious challenge ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97% for Bell reflects this structural advantage and absence of recent developments such as scandals, shifts in voter turnout patterns, or national events that have historically altered outcomes in comparable districts. A major late-cycle disruption remains the primary scenario that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$36,824结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 1st Congressional District due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in St. Louis and surrounding areas, combined with his status as incumbent after defeating Cori Bush in the August 2026 Democratic primary. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, and Republican nominee Paul Berry lacks the resources or district fit to mount a serious challenge ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97% for Bell reflects this structural advantage and absence of recent developments such as scandals, shifts in voter turnout patterns, or national events that have historically altered outcomes in comparable districts. A major late-cycle disruption remains the primary scenario that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,824结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETWesley Bell holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 1st Congressional District due to its consistent strong Democratic performance in St. Louis and surrounding areas, combined with his status as incumbent after defeating Cori Bush in the August 2026 Democratic primary. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, and Republican nominee Paul Berry lacks the resources or district fit to mount a serious challenge ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 97% for Bell reflects this structural advantage and absence of recent developments such as scandals, shifts in voter turnout patterns, or national events that have historically altered outcomes in comparable districts. A major late-cycle disruption remains the primary scenario that could narrow the margin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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