Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a minimum temperature near 24–26°C on September 22 amid increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity near 70–80%. Official guidance notes a 2–3°C drop from prior sunny conditions, with steering patterns and moisture from regional systems favoring overnight lows in the mid-20s rather than higher values near 27°C or cooler readings below 23°C. Model consensus shows modest spread tied to exact rainfall timing and wind, supporting tight market-implied odds across the 22–27°C range as traders weigh the latest China Meteorological Administration updates ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日深圳最低气温?
22°C或以下 88%
32°C或更高 79%
27°C 44%
23°C 38%
22°C或以下
88%
23°C
38%
24°C
25%
25°C
35%
26°C
25%
27°C
44%
28°C
38%
29°C
3%
30°C
14%
31°C
17%
32°C或更高
79%
22°C或以下 88%
32°C或更高 79%
27°C 44%
23°C 38%
22°C或以下
88%
23°C
38%
24°C
25%
25°C
35%
26°C
25%
27°C
44%
28°C
38%
29°C
3%
30°C
14%
31°C
17%
32°C或更高
79%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a minimum temperature near 24–26°C on September 22 amid increasing cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity near 70–80%. Official guidance notes a 2–3°C drop from prior sunny conditions, with steering patterns and moisture from regional systems favoring overnight lows in the mid-20s rather than higher values near 27°C or cooler readings below 23°C. Model consensus shows modest spread tied to exact rainfall timing and wind, supporting tight market-implied odds across the 22–27°C range as traders weigh the latest China Meteorological Administration updates ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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