Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily minimum near 16–17°C for Cape Town on September 22, consistent with above-average spring conditions driven by northwesterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Market-implied odds remain nearly balanced across cooler and warmer extremes because ensemble spreads in overnight boundary-layer mixing, wind direction shifts, and exact timing of the minimum introduce meaningful uncertainty around the central forecast value. Historical September minima average near 10°C, yet 2026 observations have trended warmer, reinforcing trader focus on whether the current pattern sustains or yields a sharper drop. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance expected overnight will likely clarify resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日开普敦最低气温？
9月22日开普敦最低气温？
12°C或以下 86%
22°C或更高 77%
16°C 40%
21°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
12°C或以下
86%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C
18%
16°C
40%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C
21%
20°C
21%
21°C
39%
22°C或更高
77%
12°C或以下 86%
22°C或更高 77%
16°C 40%
21°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
86%
13°C
$0 交易量
18%
14°C
$0 交易量
18%
15°C
$0 交易量
18%
16°C
$0 交易量
40%
17°C
$0 交易量
25%
18°C
$0 交易量
25%
19°C
$0 交易量
21%
20°C
$0 交易量
21%
21°C
$0 交易量
39%
22°C或更高
$0 交易量
77%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily minimum near 16–17°C for Cape Town on September 22, consistent with above-average spring conditions driven by northwesterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Market-implied odds remain nearly balanced across cooler and warmer extremes because ensemble spreads in overnight boundary-layer mixing, wind direction shifts, and exact timing of the minimum introduce meaningful uncertainty around the central forecast value. Historical September minima average near 10°C, yet 2026 observations have trended warmer, reinforcing trader focus on whether the current pattern sustains or yields a sharper drop. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance expected overnight will likely clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily minimum near 16–17°C for Cape Town on September 22, consistent with above-average spring conditions driven by northwesterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Market-implied odds remain nearly balanced across cooler and warmer extremes because ensemble spreads in overnight boundary-layer mixing, wind direction shifts, and exact timing of the minimum introduce meaningful uncertainty around the central forecast value. Historical September minima average near 10°C, yet 2026 observations have trended warmer, reinforcing trader focus on whether the current pattern sustains or yields a sharper drop. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance expected overnight will likely clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-22市场开放时间
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily minimum near 16–17°C for Cape Town on September 22, consistent with above-average spring conditions driven by northwesterly flow and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. Market-implied odds remain nearly balanced across cooler and warmer extremes because ensemble spreads in overnight boundary-layer mixing, wind direction shifts, and exact timing of the minimum introduce meaningful uncertainty around the central forecast value. Historical September minima average near 10°C, yet 2026 observations have trended warmer, reinforcing trader focus on whether the current pattern sustains or yields a sharper drop. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance expected overnight will likely clarify resolution thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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