**Current forecasts from multiple models position 14°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town’s official minimum temperature on September 21, 2026.** Clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and stable high pressure have produced a dry night with radiative cooling under low humidity, supporting overnight lows near 15°C (59°F) at representative stations. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 10–12°C, so today’s warmer baseline reflects suppressed marine influence and absent frontal activity. Model consensus from GFS and similar runs indicates limited further cooling overnight, with dew points around 14–16°C limiting the drop. Traders appear to weigh the risk of a slightly cooler official reading at the primary measurement site against the strong consensus for values clustered near 14–15°C, keeping probabilities for 13°C or below modest. Updated observations through the evening will refine resolution timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月21日开普敦最低气温？
9月21日开普敦最低气温？
14°C 99%
13°C 42%
12°C 37%
11°C 3.0%
$2,770 交易量
$2,770 交易量
2026-09-21
10°C或以下
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
37%
13°C
42%
14°C
99%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或更高
<1%
14°C 99%
13°C 42%
12°C 37%
11°C 3.0%
$2,770 交易量
$2,770 交易量
2026-09-21
10°C或以下
$1,129 交易量
1%
11°C
$65 交易量
3%
12°C
$0 交易量
37%
13°C
$20 交易量
42%
14°C
$185 交易量
99%
15°C
$330 交易量
<1%
16°C
$374 交易量
<1%
17°C
$332 交易量
<1%
18°C
$110 交易量
<1%
19°C
$15 交易量
<1%
20°C或更高
$210 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models position 14°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town’s official minimum temperature on September 21, 2026.** Clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and stable high pressure have produced a dry night with radiative cooling under low humidity, supporting overnight lows near 15°C (59°F) at representative stations. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 10–12°C, so today’s warmer baseline reflects suppressed marine influence and absent frontal activity. Model consensus from GFS and similar runs indicates limited further cooling overnight, with dew points around 14–16°C limiting the drop. Traders appear to weigh the risk of a slightly cooler official reading at the primary measurement site against the strong consensus for values clustered near 14–15°C, keeping probabilities for 13°C or below modest. Updated observations through the evening will refine resolution timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$2,770结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple models position 14°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town’s official minimum temperature on September 21, 2026.** Clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and stable high pressure have produced a dry night with radiative cooling under low humidity, supporting overnight lows near 15°C (59°F) at representative stations. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 10–12°C, so today’s warmer baseline reflects suppressed marine influence and absent frontal activity. Model consensus from GFS and similar runs indicates limited further cooling overnight, with dew points around 14–16°C limiting the drop. Traders appear to weigh the risk of a slightly cooler official reading at the primary measurement site against the strong consensus for values clustered near 14–15°C, keeping probabilities for 13°C or below modest. Updated observations through the evening will refine resolution timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,770结束日期
2026-09-21市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:32 AM ET**Current forecasts from multiple models position 14°C as the leading outcome for Cape Town’s official minimum temperature on September 21, 2026.** Clear skies, light southeasterly winds, and stable high pressure have produced a dry night with radiative cooling under low humidity, supporting overnight lows near 15°C (59°F) at representative stations. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical minima of 10–12°C, so today’s warmer baseline reflects suppressed marine influence and absent frontal activity. Model consensus from GFS and similar runs indicates limited further cooling overnight, with dew points around 14–16°C limiting the drop. Traders appear to weigh the risk of a slightly cooler official reading at the primary measurement site against the strong consensus for values clustered near 14–15°C, keeping probabilities for 13°C or below modest. Updated observations through the evening will refine resolution timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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