Louisiana's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in New Orleans suburbs, where incumbent Steve Scalise holds a commanding position ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary and December 12 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and Scalise's established record as House Majority Leader. His campaign reports over $10 million raised compared with roughly $140,000 for Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett, underscoring resource and name-recognition gaps that limit opposition viability. Other Republican and unaffiliated entrants further fragment any potential challenge. Trader consensus at 95.9% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors; late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent could theoretically reopen the contest, though no such indicators have emerged.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$52,223 交易量
$52,223 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
96%
民主党
5%
$52,223 交易量
$52,223 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$22,399 交易量
96%
民主党
$29,823 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in New Orleans suburbs, where incumbent Steve Scalise holds a commanding position ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary and December 12 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and Scalise's established record as House Majority Leader. His campaign reports over $10 million raised compared with roughly $140,000 for Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett, underscoring resource and name-recognition gaps that limit opposition viability. Other Republican and unaffiliated entrants further fragment any potential challenge. Trader consensus at 95.9% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors; late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent could theoretically reopen the contest, though no such indicators have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$52,223结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in New Orleans suburbs, where incumbent Steve Scalise holds a commanding position ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary and December 12 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and Scalise's established record as House Majority Leader. His campaign reports over $10 million raised compared with roughly $140,000 for Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett, underscoring resource and name-recognition gaps that limit opposition viability. Other Republican and unaffiliated entrants further fragment any potential challenge. Trader consensus at 95.9% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors; late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent could theoretically reopen the contest, though no such indicators have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$52,223结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETLouisiana's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat anchored in New Orleans suburbs, where incumbent Steve Scalise holds a commanding position ahead of the November 3, 2026, primary and December 12 general election. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan lean and Scalise's established record as House Majority Leader. His campaign reports over $10 million raised compared with roughly $140,000 for Democratic challenger Lauren Jewett, underscoring resource and name-recognition gaps that limit opposition viability. Other Republican and unaffiliated entrants further fragment any potential challenge. Trader consensus at 95.9% for Republicans aligns with these structural factors; late developments such as a major scandal or health event involving the incumbent could theoretically reopen the contest, though no such indicators have emerged.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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