Ralph Alvarado holds the trader consensus lead in Kentucky’s open 6th District House race, an area that includes Lexington and has favored Republicans in recent cycles despite narrow voter registration edges. His May primary victory, Trump endorsement, and background as a former state senator and Tennessee health commissioner have anchored Republican support. Democratic nominee Zach Dembo, a Navy veteran and former federal prosecutor endorsed by Gov. Andy Beshear, benefits from early polling that showed a statistical tie and recent attack advertising from a Beshear-aligned super PAC tying Alvarado to past controversies. Debate scheduling disputes and the absence of an incumbent create some uncertainty, yet the district’s partisan baseline and Alvarado’s primary strength sustain the current implied probability gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,207 交易量
$35,207 交易量
2026-11-02
拉尔夫·阿尔瓦拉多（共和党）
74%
扎克·登博（民主党）
26%
$35,207 交易量
$35,207 交易量
2026-11-02
拉尔夫·阿尔瓦拉多（共和党）
$15,224 交易量
74%
扎克·登博（民主党）
$19,983 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ralph Alvarado holds the trader consensus lead in Kentucky’s open 6th District House race, an area that includes Lexington and has favored Republicans in recent cycles despite narrow voter registration edges. His May primary victory, Trump endorsement, and background as a former state senator and Tennessee health commissioner have anchored Republican support. Democratic nominee Zach Dembo, a Navy veteran and former federal prosecutor endorsed by Gov. Andy Beshear, benefits from early polling that showed a statistical tie and recent attack advertising from a Beshear-aligned super PAC tying Alvarado to past controversies. Debate scheduling disputes and the absence of an incumbent create some uncertainty, yet the district’s partisan baseline and Alvarado’s primary strength sustain the current implied probability gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$35,207结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ralph Alvarado holds the trader consensus lead in Kentucky’s open 6th District House race, an area that includes Lexington and has favored Republicans in recent cycles despite narrow voter registration edges. His May primary victory, Trump endorsement, and background as a former state senator and Tennessee health commissioner have anchored Republican support. Democratic nominee Zach Dembo, a Navy veteran and former federal prosecutor endorsed by Gov. Andy Beshear, benefits from early polling that showed a statistical tie and recent attack advertising from a Beshear-aligned super PAC tying Alvarado to past controversies. Debate scheduling disputes and the absence of an incumbent create some uncertainty, yet the district’s partisan baseline and Alvarado’s primary strength sustain the current implied probability gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,207结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRalph Alvarado holds the trader consensus lead in Kentucky’s open 6th District House race, an area that includes Lexington and has favored Republicans in recent cycles despite narrow voter registration edges. His May primary victory, Trump endorsement, and background as a former state senator and Tennessee health commissioner have anchored Republican support. Democratic nominee Zach Dembo, a Navy veteran and former federal prosecutor endorsed by Gov. Andy Beshear, benefits from early polling that showed a statistical tie and recent attack advertising from a Beshear-aligned super PAC tying Alvarado to past controversies. Debate scheduling disputes and the absence of an incumbent create some uncertainty, yet the district’s partisan baseline and Alvarado’s primary strength sustain the current implied probability gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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