Indonesia’s consistent policy conditions any diplomatic normalization with Israel on prior Israeli recognition of a Palestinian state and a two-state solution, a position reiterated by President Prabowo Subianto in his September 2025 UN General Assembly remarks and reinforced by his September 2026 “Free Palestine” statements alongside new scholarship programs for Palestinian students. Domestic political sensitivities, including public and institutional pushback against perceived academic or other contacts, have kept formal ties off the table despite longstanding quiet trade, tourism, and security channels. Recent think-tank discussions on phased cooperation tied to U.S. trade agreements or OECD accession have not produced concrete diplomatic movement, leaving trader consensus reflecting the high barriers posed by these entrenched positions and the absence of breakthroughs on the core precondition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Market falls sharply as no concrete diplomatic announcements materialize
June 30, 2026 drops to 8%8%
Disappointment over lack of formal steps caused a swift decline.
Market briefly rallies on speculation of incremental diplomatic progress between Indonesia and Israel
June 30, 2026 jumps to 16%13%
Speculation about phased cooperation raised hopes temporarily.
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题