Mojtaba Khamenei succeeded his father as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 following the February US-Israeli strike that killed Ali Khamenei and wounded Mojtaba. Trader sentiment on a public appearance by the specified date reflects his continued absence from live events, funerals, or verified broadcasts despite issuing written statements and limited undated video clips through state media. Key drivers include security risks from the ongoing conflict, reported injuries sustained in the attack, and indications of a more collective or guarded leadership structure within the regime and IRGC. Recent developments feature proof-of-life claims, military appointments attributed to him, and unconfirmed reports of private meetings, yet no independently verified in-person public appearance has occurred. Scheduled religious occasions, ceasefire talks, or institutional events within the resolution window could influence the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$7,098,774 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
3%
10月31日
9%
12月31日
21%
$7,098,774 交易量
9月30日
$382,290 交易量
3%
10月31日
$7,859 交易量
9%
12月31日
$589,417 交易量
21%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei succeeded his father as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 following the February US-Israeli strike that killed Ali Khamenei and wounded Mojtaba. Trader sentiment on a public appearance by the specified date reflects his continued absence from live events, funerals, or verified broadcasts despite issuing written statements and limited undated video clips through state media. Key drivers include security risks from the ongoing conflict, reported injuries sustained in the attack, and indications of a more collective or guarded leadership structure within the regime and IRGC. Recent developments feature proof-of-life claims, military appointments attributed to him, and unconfirmed reports of private meetings, yet no independently verified in-person public appearance has occurred. Scheduled religious occasions, ceasefire talks, or institutional events within the resolution window could influence the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
市场开放时间： Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
交易量
$7,098,774结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.Mojtaba Khamenei succeeded his father as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 following the February US-Israeli strike that killed Ali Khamenei and wounded Mojtaba. Trader sentiment on a public appearance by the specified date reflects his continued absence from live events, funerals, or verified broadcasts despite issuing written statements and limited undated video clips through state media. Key drivers include security risks from the ongoing conflict, reported injuries sustained in the attack, and indications of a more collective or guarded leadership structure within the regime and IRGC. Recent developments feature proof-of-life claims, military appointments attributed to him, and unconfirmed reports of private meetings, yet no independently verified in-person public appearance has occurred. Scheduled religious occasions, ceasefire talks, or institutional events within the resolution window could influence the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
交易量
$7,098,774结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 4:58 PM ETMojtaba Khamenei succeeded his father as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026 following the February US-Israeli strike that killed Ali Khamenei and wounded Mojtaba. Trader sentiment on a public appearance by the specified date reflects his continued absence from live events, funerals, or verified broadcasts despite issuing written statements and limited undated video clips through state media. Key drivers include security risks from the ongoing conflict, reported injuries sustained in the attack, and indications of a more collective or guarded leadership structure within the regime and IRGC. Recent developments feature proof-of-life claims, military appointments attributed to him, and unconfirmed reports of private meetings, yet no independently verified in-person public appearance has occurred. Scheduled religious occasions, ceasefire talks, or institutional events within the resolution window could influence the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题