Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi for a Senate bid, sits in a strongly Democratic suburban Chicago area rated Safe Democratic by forecasters. Bean, a former three-term representative with established name recognition and moderate positioning, won a competitive March 2026 Democratic primary against progressive challengers, bolstered by fundraising advantages and key endorsements. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis, an entrepreneur who prevailed in her lower-profile primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have consistently outperformed. With the November general election approaching and no major late-breaking developments in recent weeks, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline, Bean's organizational edge, and limited crossover appeal for the GOP nominee. A significant scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,818 交易量
$21,818 交易量
2026-11-02
梅利莎·比恩（民主党）
94%
詹妮弗·戴维斯（共和党）
6%
$21,818 交易量
$21,818 交易量
2026-11-02
梅利莎·比恩（民主党）
$9,791 交易量
94%
詹妮弗·戴维斯（共和党）
$12,027 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi for a Senate bid, sits in a strongly Democratic suburban Chicago area rated Safe Democratic by forecasters. Bean, a former three-term representative with established name recognition and moderate positioning, won a competitive March 2026 Democratic primary against progressive challengers, bolstered by fundraising advantages and key endorsements. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis, an entrepreneur who prevailed in her lower-profile primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have consistently outperformed. With the November general election approaching and no major late-breaking developments in recent weeks, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline, Bean's organizational edge, and limited crossover appeal for the GOP nominee. A significant scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$21,818结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi for a Senate bid, sits in a strongly Democratic suburban Chicago area rated Safe Democratic by forecasters. Bean, a former three-term representative with established name recognition and moderate positioning, won a competitive March 2026 Democratic primary against progressive challengers, bolstered by fundraising advantages and key endorsements. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis, an entrepreneur who prevailed in her lower-profile primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have consistently outperformed. With the November general election approaching and no major late-breaking developments in recent weeks, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline, Bean's organizational edge, and limited crossover appeal for the GOP nominee. A significant scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,818结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETMelissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi for a Senate bid, sits in a strongly Democratic suburban Chicago area rated Safe Democratic by forecasters. Bean, a former three-term representative with established name recognition and moderate positioning, won a competitive March 2026 Democratic primary against progressive challengers, bolstered by fundraising advantages and key endorsements. Republican nominee Jennifer Davis, an entrepreneur who prevailed in her lower-profile primary, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have consistently outperformed. With the November general election approaching and no major late-breaking developments in recent weeks, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline, Bean's organizational edge, and limited crossover appeal for the GOP nominee. A significant scandal, health event, or national political shift could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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