Sean Casten’s commanding position in the Illinois 6th congressional district race stems from his incumbency in a suburban Chicago seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, combined with the district’s partisan lean and his comfortable 2024 reelection margin. Both candidates secured their party nominations decisively in the March 2026 primaries, leaving limited time or momentum for the Republican challenger Niki Conforti to close the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the race. Late-breaking events such as a significant scandal, health development, or an unanticipated national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$43,100 交易量
$43,100 交易量
2026-11-02
肖恩·卡斯滕（民主党）
96%
尼基·孔福提（共和党）
2%
$43,100 交易量
$43,100 交易量
2026-11-02
肖恩·卡斯滕（民主党）
$19,954 交易量
96%
尼基·孔福提（共和党）
$23,146 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sean Casten’s commanding position in the Illinois 6th congressional district race stems from his incumbency in a suburban Chicago seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, combined with the district’s partisan lean and his comfortable 2024 reelection margin. Both candidates secured their party nominations decisively in the March 2026 primaries, leaving limited time or momentum for the Republican challenger Niki Conforti to close the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the race. Late-breaking events such as a significant scandal, health development, or an unanticipated national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$43,100结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sean Casten’s commanding position in the Illinois 6th congressional district race stems from his incumbency in a suburban Chicago seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, combined with the district’s partisan lean and his comfortable 2024 reelection margin. Both candidates secured their party nominations decisively in the March 2026 primaries, leaving limited time or momentum for the Republican challenger Niki Conforti to close the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the race. Late-breaking events such as a significant scandal, health development, or an unanticipated national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$43,100结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETSean Casten’s commanding position in the Illinois 6th congressional district race stems from his incumbency in a suburban Chicago seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, combined with the district’s partisan lean and his comfortable 2024 reelection margin. Both candidates secured their party nominations decisively in the March 2026 primaries, leaving limited time or momentum for the Republican challenger Niki Conforti to close the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of major recent developments capable of shifting the race. Late-breaking events such as a significant scandal, health development, or an unanticipated national partisan swing could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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