Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois' 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, prevailing in a crowded field as mayor of Evanston and a former state senator with endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus and U.S. senators. The open seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky, lies in a heavily Democratic district encompassing northern Chicago suburbs and the North Shore that has not elected a Republican since the 1940s. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who won his primary with under 50 percent, maintains low visibility ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing remain the primary scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$31,625 交易量
$31,625 交易量
2026-11-02
丹尼尔·比斯（民主党）
95%
约翰·埃勒森（共和党）
5%
$31,625 交易量
$31,625 交易量
2026-11-02
丹尼尔·比斯（民主党）
$17,371 交易量
95%
约翰·埃勒森（共和党）
$14,254 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois' 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, prevailing in a crowded field as mayor of Evanston and a former state senator with endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus and U.S. senators. The open seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky, lies in a heavily Democratic district encompassing northern Chicago suburbs and the North Shore that has not elected a Republican since the 1940s. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who won his primary with under 50 percent, maintains low visibility ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing remain the primary scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$31,625结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois' 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, prevailing in a crowded field as mayor of Evanston and a former state senator with endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus and U.S. senators. The open seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky, lies in a heavily Democratic district encompassing northern Chicago suburbs and the North Shore that has not elected a Republican since the 1940s. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who won his primary with under 50 percent, maintains low visibility ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing remain the primary scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$31,625结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETDaniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois' 9th Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, prevailing in a crowded field as mayor of Evanston and a former state senator with endorsements from the Congressional Progressive Caucus and U.S. senators. The open seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky, lies in a heavily Democratic district encompassing northern Chicago suburbs and the North Shore that has not elected a Republican since the 1940s. Republican nominee John Elleson, a pastor who won his primary with under 50 percent, maintains low visibility ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing remain the primary scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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