Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included former U.S. Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Robin Kelly, sits in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean and a history of electing Democrats by wide margins since the 1950s. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Republican nominee Mike Noack advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and past election results. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent campaign activity or external events capable of shifting the balance before the November general election. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or national political realignment, would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,686 交易量
$33,686 交易量
2026-11-02
唐娜·米勒（民主党）
97%
迈克尔·诺阿克（共和党）
1%
$33,686 交易量
$33,686 交易量
2026-11-02
唐娜·米勒（民主党）
$14,437 交易量
97%
迈克尔·诺阿克（共和党）
$19,249 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included former U.S. Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Robin Kelly, sits in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean and a history of electing Democrats by wide margins since the 1950s. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Republican nominee Mike Noack advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and past election results. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent campaign activity or external events capable of shifting the balance before the November general election. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or national political realignment, would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$33,686结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included former U.S. Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Robin Kelly, sits in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean and a history of electing Democrats by wide margins since the 1950s. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Republican nominee Mike Noack advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and past election results. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent campaign activity or external events capable of shifting the balance before the November general election. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or national political realignment, would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,686结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETDonna Miller secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary, defeating a crowded field that included former U.S. Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Robin Kelly, sits in a district with a strong Democratic partisan lean and a history of electing Democrats by wide margins since the 1950s. Race ratings from multiple outlets classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Republican nominee Mike Noack advanced unopposed in his primary but faces structural disadvantages in voter registration and past election results. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with limited recent campaign activity or external events capable of shifting the balance before the November general election. A major unforeseen development, such as a significant scandal or national political realignment, would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题