Illinois's 1st congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in Chicago's South Side, providing incumbent Representative Jonathan Jackson with a durable structural edge through voter registration advantages, historical turnout patterns, and prior election margins exceeding 70 points. Jackson captured the seat in 2022 and defended it decisively in 2024, drawing consistent support from core party constituencies. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell confronts steep barriers in a district where Democratic performance has held steady across recent cycles, limiting crossover appeal or fundraising parity. The current trader consensus aligns with these entrenched district fundamentals, though an unusually strong national Republican environment, primary upset, or late-cycle scandal could still introduce volatility before November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$54,755 交易量
$54,755 交易量
2026-11-02
乔纳森·杰克逊（民主党）
96%
克里斯蒂安·麦克斯韦尔（共和党）
3%
$54,755 交易量
$54,755 交易量
2026-11-02
乔纳森·杰克逊（民主党）
$30,061 交易量
96%
克里斯蒂安·麦克斯韦尔（共和党）
$24,694 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 1st congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in Chicago's South Side, providing incumbent Representative Jonathan Jackson with a durable structural edge through voter registration advantages, historical turnout patterns, and prior election margins exceeding 70 points. Jackson captured the seat in 2022 and defended it decisively in 2024, drawing consistent support from core party constituencies. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell confronts steep barriers in a district where Democratic performance has held steady across recent cycles, limiting crossover appeal or fundraising parity. The current trader consensus aligns with these entrenched district fundamentals, though an unusually strong national Republican environment, primary upset, or late-cycle scandal could still introduce volatility before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$54,755结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 1st congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in Chicago's South Side, providing incumbent Representative Jonathan Jackson with a durable structural edge through voter registration advantages, historical turnout patterns, and prior election margins exceeding 70 points. Jackson captured the seat in 2022 and defended it decisively in 2024, drawing consistent support from core party constituencies. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell confronts steep barriers in a district where Democratic performance has held steady across recent cycles, limiting crossover appeal or fundraising parity. The current trader consensus aligns with these entrenched district fundamentals, though an unusually strong national Republican environment, primary upset, or late-cycle scandal could still introduce volatility before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$54,755结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETIllinois's 1st congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat anchored in Chicago's South Side, providing incumbent Representative Jonathan Jackson with a durable structural edge through voter registration advantages, historical turnout patterns, and prior election margins exceeding 70 points. Jackson captured the seat in 2022 and defended it decisively in 2024, drawing consistent support from core party constituencies. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell confronts steep barriers in a district where Democratic performance has held steady across recent cycles, limiting crossover appeal or fundraising parity. The current trader consensus aligns with these entrenched district fundamentals, though an unusually strong national Republican environment, primary upset, or late-cycle scandal could still introduce volatility before November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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