Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th Congressional District race due to his long incumbency, the district’s Republican lean (rated R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index), and consistent strong performance in prior cycles, including a 71% win in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting further insulated the seat, with Donald Trump carrying the new lines by roughly 14 points. Bilirakis maintains a substantial fundraising edge and unified party support, including an endorsement from Trump, while Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, a former Hillsborough County commissioner who narrowly won her August primary, faces limited resources and no major recent polling shifts. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural advantages remain pronounced heading into November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$57,307 交易量
$57,307 交易量
2026-11-02
格斯·比利拉基斯（共和党）
93%
Kimberly Overman（民主党）
9%
$57,307 交易量
$57,307 交易量
2026-11-02
格斯·比利拉基斯（共和党）
$23,211 交易量
93%
Kimberly Overman（民主党）
$34,096 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th Congressional District race due to his long incumbency, the district’s Republican lean (rated R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index), and consistent strong performance in prior cycles, including a 71% win in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting further insulated the seat, with Donald Trump carrying the new lines by roughly 14 points. Bilirakis maintains a substantial fundraising edge and unified party support, including an endorsement from Trump, while Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, a former Hillsborough County commissioner who narrowly won her August primary, faces limited resources and no major recent polling shifts. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural advantages remain pronounced heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$57,307结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th Congressional District race due to his long incumbency, the district’s Republican lean (rated R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index), and consistent strong performance in prior cycles, including a 71% win in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting further insulated the seat, with Donald Trump carrying the new lines by roughly 14 points. Bilirakis maintains a substantial fundraising edge and unified party support, including an endorsement from Trump, while Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, a former Hillsborough County commissioner who narrowly won her August primary, faces limited resources and no major recent polling shifts. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural advantages remain pronounced heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$57,307结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETGus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th Congressional District race due to his long incumbency, the district’s Republican lean (rated R+7 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index), and consistent strong performance in prior cycles, including a 71% win in 2024. Mid-decade redistricting further insulated the seat, with Donald Trump carrying the new lines by roughly 14 points. Bilirakis maintains a substantial fundraising edge and unified party support, including an endorsement from Trump, while Democratic nominee Kimberly Overman, a former Hillsborough County commissioner who narrowly won her August primary, faces limited resources and no major recent polling shifts. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though the structural advantages remain pronounced heading into November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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