In Louisiana's 6th congressional district, redrawn after court rulings and now rated solidly Republican, the November 3 nonpartisan primary features a crowded field of ten candidates, including multiple Republicans such as state senators Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez alongside Democrats Chauna Banks and Patrick Forbes. An early August poll showed the leader at under 19 percent with over 40 percent undecided, reflecting vote fragmentation typical of the state's majority-vote system. This structure and the absence of an incumbent or dominant frontrunner drive trader consensus that no candidate will exceed 50 percent outright. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major endorsements, or rapid consolidation among Republican voters could still shift dynamics before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
3% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
3% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.In Louisiana's 6th congressional district, redrawn after court rulings and now rated solidly Republican, the November 3 nonpartisan primary features a crowded field of ten candidates, including multiple Republicans such as state senators Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez alongside Democrats Chauna Banks and Patrick Forbes. An early August poll showed the leader at under 19 percent with over 40 percent undecided, reflecting vote fragmentation typical of the state's majority-vote system. This structure and the absence of an incumbent or dominant frontrunner drive trader consensus that no candidate will exceed 50 percent outright. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major endorsements, or rapid consolidation among Republican voters could still shift dynamics before election day.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
交易量
$1,556结束日期
2027-04-01市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ETThe first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.In Louisiana's 6th congressional district, redrawn after court rulings and now rated solidly Republican, the November 3 nonpartisan primary features a crowded field of ten candidates, including multiple Republicans such as state senators Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez alongside Democrats Chauna Banks and Patrick Forbes. An early August poll showed the leader at under 19 percent with over 40 percent undecided, reflecting vote fragmentation typical of the state's majority-vote system. This structure and the absence of an incumbent or dominant frontrunner drive trader consensus that no candidate will exceed 50 percent outright. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major endorsements, or rapid consolidation among Republican voters could still shift dynamics before election day.
The first round of the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm LA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the LA-06 House election.
交易量
$1,556结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:26 PM ETIn Louisiana's 6th congressional district, redrawn after court rulings and now rated solidly Republican, the November 3 nonpartisan primary features a crowded field of ten candidates, including multiple Republicans such as state senators Rick Edmonds and Blake Miguez alongside Democrats Chauna Banks and Patrick Forbes. An early August poll showed the leader at under 19 percent with over 40 percent undecided, reflecting vote fragmentation typical of the state's majority-vote system. This structure and the absence of an incumbent or dominant frontrunner drive trader consensus that no candidate will exceed 50 percent outright. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, major endorsements, or rapid consolidation among Republican voters could still shift dynamics before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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