**Republican nominee James Kingston holds a strong advantage in Georgia’s 1st Congressional District, an R+8 seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball.** Kingston secured the GOP nomination outright in the May 19 primary with 52.4% of the vote. Democrat Amanda Hollowell won her party’s June 16 runoff. General-election candidates include Kingston, Hollowell, and Dylan Castillo. With the November 3 contest weeks away and no recent polling shifts or late developments altering the landscape, traders assign roughly 80% probability to one candidate clearing 50% on election night and avoiding Georgia’s December 1 runoff. The district’s consistent partisan lean and absence of competitive indicators support this consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
0% 概率
最新
最新
2027-03-31
是
0% 概率
最新
最新
2027-03-31
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.**Republican nominee James Kingston holds a strong advantage in Georgia’s 1st Congressional District, an R+8 seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball.** Kingston secured the GOP nomination outright in the May 19 primary with 52.4% of the vote. Democrat Amanda Hollowell won her party’s June 16 runoff. General-election candidates include Kingston, Hollowell, and Dylan Castillo. With the November 3 contest weeks away and no recent polling shifts or late developments altering the landscape, traders assign roughly 80% probability to one candidate clearing 50% on election night and avoiding Georgia’s December 1 runoff. The district’s consistent partisan lean and absence of competitive indicators support this consensus.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 5:21 PM ET
交易量
$1,189结束日期
2027-04-01市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:21 PM ETThe first round of the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.**Republican nominee James Kingston holds a strong advantage in Georgia’s 1st Congressional District, an R+8 seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball.** Kingston secured the GOP nomination outright in the May 19 primary with 52.4% of the vote. Democrat Amanda Hollowell won her party’s June 16 runoff. General-election candidates include Kingston, Hollowell, and Dylan Castillo. With the November 3 contest weeks away and no recent polling shifts or late developments altering the landscape, traders assign roughly 80% probability to one candidate clearing 50% on election night and avoiding Georgia’s December 1 runoff. The district’s consistent partisan lean and absence of competitive indicators support this consensus.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-01 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-01 House election.
交易量
$1,189结束日期
2027-04-01市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:21 PM ET**Republican nominee James Kingston holds a strong advantage in Georgia’s 1st Congressional District, an R+8 seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball.** Kingston secured the GOP nomination outright in the May 19 primary with 52.4% of the vote. Democrat Amanda Hollowell won her party’s June 16 runoff. General-election candidates include Kingston, Hollowell, and Dylan Castillo. With the November 3 contest weeks away and no recent polling shifts or late developments altering the landscape, traders assign roughly 80% probability to one candidate clearing 50% on election night and avoiding Georgia’s December 1 runoff. The district’s consistent partisan lean and absence of competitive indicators support this consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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