Recent polling and the September 20, 2026 Berlin state election results reflect sustained voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition's handling of housing affordability and other local priorities, contributing to the CDU's drop from 28.2% in the 2023 repeat election. The Linke party's emphasis on nationalizing housing associations and broader left-leaning shifts among younger and urban voters further pressured CDU support, while leadership transition to Stefan Evers amid coalition approval ratings near historic lows limited recovery. Preliminary counts placed the CDU at 18.8%, aligning with the 17-20% range. Late adjustments in final official tallies, district-level recounts, or turnout revisions could theoretically shift the share, though current margins make movement outside 17-20% unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于17-20% 98.3%
低于17% 1.5%
23%及以上 1.3%
20-23% <1%
$37,245 交易量
$37,245 交易量
2026-09-20
低于17%
2%
17-20%
98%
20-23%
1%
23%及以上
1%
17-20% 98.3%
低于17% 1.5%
23%及以上 1.3%
20-23% <1%
$37,245 交易量
$37,245 交易量
2026-09-20
低于17%
$10,287 交易量
2%
17-20%
$11,453 交易量
98%
20-23%
$10,274 交易量
1%
23%及以上
$5,231 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling and the September 20, 2026 Berlin state election results reflect sustained voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition's handling of housing affordability and other local priorities, contributing to the CDU's drop from 28.2% in the 2023 repeat election. The Linke party's emphasis on nationalizing housing associations and broader left-leaning shifts among younger and urban voters further pressured CDU support, while leadership transition to Stefan Evers amid coalition approval ratings near historic lows limited recovery. Preliminary counts placed the CDU at 18.8%, aligning with the 17-20% range. Late adjustments in final official tallies, district-level recounts, or turnout revisions could theoretically shift the share, though current margins make movement outside 17-20% unlikely before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
交易量
$37,245结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polling and the September 20, 2026 Berlin state election results reflect sustained voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition's handling of housing affordability and other local priorities, contributing to the CDU's drop from 28.2% in the 2023 repeat election. The Linke party's emphasis on nationalizing housing associations and broader left-leaning shifts among younger and urban voters further pressured CDU support, while leadership transition to Stefan Evers amid coalition approval ratings near historic lows limited recovery. Preliminary counts placed the CDU at 18.8%, aligning with the 17-20% range. Late adjustments in final official tallies, district-level recounts, or turnout revisions could theoretically shift the share, though current margins make movement outside 17-20% unlikely before resolution.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
交易量
$37,245结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETRecent polling and the September 20, 2026 Berlin state election results reflect sustained voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition's handling of housing affordability and other local priorities, contributing to the CDU's drop from 28.2% in the 2023 repeat election. The Linke party's emphasis on nationalizing housing associations and broader left-leaning shifts among younger and urban voters further pressured CDU support, while leadership transition to Stefan Evers amid coalition approval ratings near historic lows limited recovery. Preliminary counts placed the CDU at 18.8%, aligning with the 17-20% range. Late adjustments in final official tallies, district-level recounts, or turnout revisions could theoretically shift the share, though current margins make movement outside 17-20% unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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