Recent polls for Berlin's September 20 state election show a tight contest among CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne in the 15-22% range, with SPD trailing near 12-15%, creating uncertainty over exact finishing order. Grüne's position as the implied favorite for fourth place aligns with consistent mid-tier polling results and limited recent momentum shifts, while AfD's higher odds reflect its upward trend in eastern state votes and Berlin-specific surveys. SPD and CDU face pressure from coalition fatigue and candidate scrutiny, including recent searches tied to SPD's lead candidate. Linke benefits from gains but remains vulnerable to late swings among undecided voters. With ten days left, final turnout and small vote shifts among the clustered parties could reorder the middle rankings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于绿党 47%
德国选择党 22%
基民盟 16.8%
SPD 14%
$12,514 交易量
$12,514 交易量
2026-09-20
绿党
47%
德国选择党
22%
基民盟
17%
SPD
14%
Linke
6%
BSW
1%
FW
1%
FDP
1%
绿党 47%
德国选择党 22%
基民盟 16.8%
SPD 14%
$12,514 交易量
$12,514 交易量
2026-09-20
绿党
$6,535 交易量
47%
德国选择党
$4,140 交易量
22%
基民盟
$182 交易量
17%
SPD
$344 交易量
14%
Linke
$738 交易量
6%
BSW
$212 交易量
1%
FW
$209 交易量
1%
FDP
$154 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls for Berlin's September 20 state election show a tight contest among CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne in the 15-22% range, with SPD trailing near 12-15%, creating uncertainty over exact finishing order. Grüne's position as the implied favorite for fourth place aligns with consistent mid-tier polling results and limited recent momentum shifts, while AfD's higher odds reflect its upward trend in eastern state votes and Berlin-specific surveys. SPD and CDU face pressure from coalition fatigue and candidate scrutiny, including recent searches tied to SPD's lead candidate. Linke benefits from gains but remains vulnerable to late swings among undecided voters. With ten days left, final turnout and small vote shifts among the clustered parties could reorder the middle rankings.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
交易量
$12,514结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls for Berlin's September 20 state election show a tight contest among CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne in the 15-22% range, with SPD trailing near 12-15%, creating uncertainty over exact finishing order. Grüne's position as the implied favorite for fourth place aligns with consistent mid-tier polling results and limited recent momentum shifts, while AfD's higher odds reflect its upward trend in eastern state votes and Berlin-specific surveys. SPD and CDU face pressure from coalition fatigue and candidate scrutiny, including recent searches tied to SPD's lead candidate. Linke benefits from gains but remains vulnerable to late swings among undecided voters. With ten days left, final turnout and small vote shifts among the clustered parties could reorder the middle rankings.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
交易量
$12,514结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETRecent polls for Berlin's September 20 state election show a tight contest among CDU, Linke, AfD, and Grüne in the 15-22% range, with SPD trailing near 12-15%, creating uncertainty over exact finishing order. Grüne's position as the implied favorite for fourth place aligns with consistent mid-tier polling results and limited recent momentum shifts, while AfD's higher odds reflect its upward trend in eastern state votes and Berlin-specific surveys. SPD and CDU face pressure from coalition fatigue and candidate scrutiny, including recent searches tied to SPD's lead candidate. Linke benefits from gains but remains vulnerable to late swings among undecided voters. With ten days left, final turnout and small vote shifts among the clustered parties could reorder the middle rankings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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