Recent polls from early September place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 15–16% in the Berlin state election, aligning with the leading 14–17% market outcome. FG Wahlen and Infratest dimap surveys from September 7–10 show steady support amid a tight four-way contest with Die Linke, CDU, and AfD, while earlier INSA and Forsa figures from late August hovered around 15–16%. With the September 20 vote one week away, the Greens remain positioned for potential coalition roles in a Linke–SPD–Grüne or CDU–SPD–Grüne arrangement, though no single major catalyst has shifted their standing. Trader consensus reflects this polling stability and limited volatility in the final stretch.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于14-17% 45%
17-20% 32%
低于14% 23%
20%+ 3.0%
$38,066 交易量
$38,066 交易量
低于14%
23%
14-17%
45%
17-20%
32%
20%+
3%
14-17% 45%
17-20% 32%
低于14% 23%
20%+ 3.0%
$38,066 交易量
$38,066 交易量
低于14%
23%
14-17%
45%
17-20%
32%
20%+
3%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Recent polls from early September place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 15–16% in the Berlin state election, aligning with the leading 14–17% market outcome. FG Wahlen and Infratest dimap surveys from September 7–10 show steady support amid a tight four-way contest with Die Linke, CDU, and AfD, while earlier INSA and Forsa figures from late August hovered around 15–16%. With the September 20 vote one week away, the Greens remain positioned for potential coalition roles in a Linke–SPD–Grüne or CDU–SPD–Grüne arrangement, though no single major catalyst has shifted their standing. Trader consensus reflects this polling stability and limited volatility in the final stretch.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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