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Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

icon for Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp 80%

Stefan Evers 16%

Werner Graf <1%

Steffen Krach <1%

Polymarket

$177,518 交易量

Elif Eralp 80%

Stefan Evers 16%

Werner Graf <1%

Steffen Krach <1%

Polymarket

$177,518 交易量

icon for Elif Eralp

Elif Eralp

$111,761 交易量

77%

icon for Stefan Evers

Stefan Evers

$39,257 交易量

16%

icon for Werner Graf

Werner Graf

$18,347 交易量

1%

icon for Steffen Krach

Steffen Krach

$5,340 交易量

<1%

icon for Kristin Brinker

Kristin Brinker

$2,813 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elif Eralp of Die Linke leads the market at 73.5% following her party's first-place finish in the September 20, 2026, Berlin state election with 25.7% of the vote. This outcome stems from voter shifts away from the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition, whose lead candidate Kai Wegner withdrew in July amid criticism over crisis management, allowing Stefan Evers to take over for the CDU. Evers's party placed second at 18.8%. Coalition talks now center on a potential red-red-green arrangement involving the SPD and Greens, which would position Eralp as governing mayor. Lower probabilities for Evers at 16% and other candidates reflect their parties' weaker results and limited paths to a majority without Eralp's bloc.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$177,518
结束日期
2026-09-20
市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elif Eralp of Die Linke leads the market at 73.5% following her party's first-place finish in the September 20, 2026, Berlin state election with 25.7% of the vote. This outcome stems from voter shifts away from the incumbent CDU-SPD coalition, whose lead candidate Kai Wegner withdrew in July amid criticism over crisis management, allowing Stefan Evers to take over for the CDU. Evers's party placed second at 18.8%. Coalition talks now center on a potential red-red-green arrangement involving the SPD and Greens, which would position Eralp as governing mayor. Lower probabilities for Evers at 16% and other candidates reflect their parties' weaker results and limited paths to a majority without Eralp's bloc.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$177,518
结束日期
2026-09-20
市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Elif Eralp",概率为 77%,其次是"Stefan Evers",概率为 16%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 77¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 77%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?"已产生 $177.5K 的总交易量(自Aug 11, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?"的当前领先者是"Elif Eralp",概率为 77%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 77%。紧随其后的结果是"Stefan Evers",概率为 16%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。