Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for Arizona's 7th Congressional District general election due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, her incumbency after winning a 2025 special election by roughly a 2-to-1 margin over the same Republican opponent, and unopposed primaries for both candidates in July 2026. The district, spanning southern Arizona border communities including Tucson and Yuma, features voter registration and past results that favor Democrats by wide margins, reinforced by forecasters rating the race as solid or safe for the incumbent. A recent debate highlighted policy differences on immigration enforcement, water resources, and healthcare funding, yet produced no evident shift in positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the frontrunner, or an unusually strong Republican national environment, though historical patterns and the district's composition limit the realistic impact of such factors before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,780 交易量
$32,780 交易量
2026-11-03
阿德丽塔·格里哈瓦（民主党）
96%
丹尼尔·布蒂雷兹（共和党）
5%
$32,780 交易量
$32,780 交易量
2026-11-03
阿德丽塔·格里哈瓦（民主党）
$5,800 交易量
96%
丹尼尔·布蒂雷兹（共和党）
$26,980 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for Arizona's 7th Congressional District general election due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, her incumbency after winning a 2025 special election by roughly a 2-to-1 margin over the same Republican opponent, and unopposed primaries for both candidates in July 2026. The district, spanning southern Arizona border communities including Tucson and Yuma, features voter registration and past results that favor Democrats by wide margins, reinforced by forecasters rating the race as solid or safe for the incumbent. A recent debate highlighted policy differences on immigration enforcement, water resources, and healthcare funding, yet produced no evident shift in positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the frontrunner, or an unusually strong Republican national environment, though historical patterns and the district's composition limit the realistic impact of such factors before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$32,780结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for Arizona's 7th Congressional District general election due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, her incumbency after winning a 2025 special election by roughly a 2-to-1 margin over the same Republican opponent, and unopposed primaries for both candidates in July 2026. The district, spanning southern Arizona border communities including Tucson and Yuma, features voter registration and past results that favor Democrats by wide margins, reinforced by forecasters rating the race as solid or safe for the incumbent. A recent debate highlighted policy differences on immigration enforcement, water resources, and healthcare funding, yet produced no evident shift in positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the frontrunner, or an unusually strong Republican national environment, though historical patterns and the district's composition limit the realistic impact of such factors before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,780结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETAdelita Grijalva holds a commanding lead in trader assessments for Arizona's 7th Congressional District general election due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, her incumbency after winning a 2025 special election by roughly a 2-to-1 margin over the same Republican opponent, and unopposed primaries for both candidates in July 2026. The district, spanning southern Arizona border communities including Tucson and Yuma, features voter registration and past results that favor Democrats by wide margins, reinforced by forecasters rating the race as solid or safe for the incumbent. A recent debate highlighted policy differences on immigration enforcement, water resources, and healthcare funding, yet produced no evident shift in positioning. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the frontrunner, or an unusually strong Republican national environment, though historical patterns and the district's composition limit the realistic impact of such factors before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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