Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.7% because U.S. statehood under Article IV requires congressional approval, presidential signature, and explicit consent from the affected territory, none of which has materialized. Venezuelan acting President Delcy Rodríguez has repeatedly rejected the notion, stressing national sovereignty following the January 2026 transition after Nicolás Maduro's removal. President Trump's March and May 2026 social media remarks linking Venezuela's oil resources and baseball success to potential statehood produced no legislative resolutions, diplomatic agreements, or bilateral negotiations. With the market resolving December 31, 2026, the absence of any formal process or domestic support in Caracas leaves only remote contingencies—such as an unforeseen congressional initiative paired with Venezuelan consent—capable of altering the outcome before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
2% 機率
$395,144 交易量
$395,144 交易量
2026-12-31
是
2% 機率
$395,144 交易量
$395,144 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.7% because U.S. statehood under Article IV requires congressional approval, presidential signature, and explicit consent from the affected territory, none of which has materialized. Venezuelan acting President Delcy Rodríguez has repeatedly rejected the notion, stressing national sovereignty following the January 2026 transition after Nicolás Maduro's removal. President Trump's March and May 2026 social media remarks linking Venezuela's oil resources and baseball success to potential statehood produced no legislative resolutions, diplomatic agreements, or bilateral negotiations. With the market resolving December 31, 2026, the absence of any formal process or domestic support in Caracas leaves only remote contingencies—such as an unforeseen congressional initiative paired with Venezuelan consent—capable of altering the outcome before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ET
交易量
$395,144結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 97.7% because U.S. statehood under Article IV requires congressional approval, presidential signature, and explicit consent from the affected territory, none of which has materialized. Venezuelan acting President Delcy Rodríguez has repeatedly rejected the notion, stressing national sovereignty following the January 2026 transition after Nicolás Maduro's removal. President Trump's March and May 2026 social media remarks linking Venezuela's oil resources and baseball success to potential statehood produced no legislative resolutions, diplomatic agreements, or bilateral negotiations. With the market resolving December 31, 2026, the absence of any formal process or domestic support in Caracas leaves only remote contingencies—such as an unforeseen congressional initiative paired with Venezuelan consent—capable of altering the outcome before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$0結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jan 3, 2026, 7:18 PM ETTrader consensus prices "No" at 97.7% because U.S. statehood under Article IV requires congressional approval, presidential signature, and explicit consent from the affected territory, none of which has materialized. Venezuelan acting President Delcy Rodríguez has repeatedly rejected the notion, stressing national sovereignty following the January 2026 transition after Nicolás Maduro's removal. President Trump's March and May 2026 social media remarks linking Venezuela's oil resources and baseball success to potential statehood produced no legislative resolutions, diplomatic agreements, or bilateral negotiations. With the market resolving December 31, 2026, the absence of any formal process or domestic support in Caracas leaves only remote contingencies—such as an unforeseen congressional initiative paired with Venezuelan consent—capable of altering the outcome before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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