Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote because his Mission Party campaign has consolidated support among younger and digitally engaged voters disillusioned with both Lula and the Bolsonaro-aligned camp. Recent polls place him in the low-to-mid single digits alongside or just behind Augusto Cury, with Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema trailing further. Cury’s late-August surge after a televised debate lifted him to double digits in some surveys, yet Santos retains an edge in social-media reach and anti-establishment positioning. Caiado’s PSD ticket and Zema’s Novo candidacy have struggled to expand beyond regional bases. Legal rulings temporarily restricting Santos’ online advertising and debate participation introduced volatility but did not shift the broader assessment of his relative standing among the crowded field of lower-polling contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於雷南·桑托斯 53%
奧古斯托·庫里 32.6%
Ronaldo Caiado 12%
羅梅烏·澤馬 1.0%
$1,283,198 交易量
$1,283,198 交易量
2026-10-03
雷南·桑托斯
53%
奧古斯托·庫里
33%
Ronaldo Caiado
12%
羅梅烏·澤馬
1%
弗拉维奥·博索納羅
<1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
<1%
塔西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯
<1%
賈伊爾·博索納羅
<1%
費爾南多·哈達德
<1%
米歇爾·波索納羅
<1%
愛德華多·博索納羅
<1%
哈蒂紐·儒尼奧爾
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔納
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
阿爾多·雷貝洛
<1%
愛杜亞多·萊特
<1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
<1%
埃爾德·巴爾巴略
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
雷南·桑托斯 53%
奧古斯托·庫里 32.6%
Ronaldo Caiado 12%
羅梅烏·澤馬 1.0%
$1,283,198 交易量
$1,283,198 交易量
2026-10-03
雷南·桑托斯
$355,346 交易量
53%
奧古斯托·庫里
$236,840 交易量
33%
Ronaldo Caiado
$140,093 交易量
12%
羅梅烏·澤馬
$65,938 交易量
1%
弗拉维奥·博索納羅
$80,301 交易量
<1%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$56,522 交易量
<1%
塔西西奧·德·弗雷塔斯
$16,773 交易量
<1%
賈伊爾·博索納羅
$15,847 交易量
<1%
費爾南多·哈達德
$23,204 交易量
<1%
米歇爾·波索納羅
$20,815 交易量
<1%
愛德華多·博索納羅
$46,212 交易量
<1%
哈蒂紐·儒尼奧爾
$104,208 交易量
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔納
$13,084 交易量
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$11,811 交易量
<1%
阿爾多·雷貝洛
$9,865 交易量
<1%
愛杜亞多·萊特
$9,374 交易量
<1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
$4,083 交易量
<1%
埃爾德·巴爾巴略
$3,481 交易量
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$69,401 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote because his Mission Party campaign has consolidated support among younger and digitally engaged voters disillusioned with both Lula and the Bolsonaro-aligned camp. Recent polls place him in the low-to-mid single digits alongside or just behind Augusto Cury, with Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema trailing further. Cury’s late-August surge after a televised debate lifted him to double digits in some surveys, yet Santos retains an edge in social-media reach and anti-establishment positioning. Caiado’s PSD ticket and Zema’s Novo candidacy have struggled to expand beyond regional bases. Legal rulings temporarily restricting Santos’ online advertising and debate participation introduced volatility but did not shift the broader assessment of his relative standing among the crowded field of lower-polling contenders.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市場開放時間： Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
交易量
$1,283,198結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote because his Mission Party campaign has consolidated support among younger and digitally engaged voters disillusioned with both Lula and the Bolsonaro-aligned camp. Recent polls place him in the low-to-mid single digits alongside or just behind Augusto Cury, with Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema trailing further. Cury’s late-August surge after a televised debate lifted him to double digits in some surveys, yet Santos retains an edge in social-media reach and anti-establishment positioning. Caiado’s PSD ticket and Zema’s Novo candidacy have struggled to expand beyond regional bases. Legal rulings temporarily restricting Santos’ online advertising and debate participation introduced volatility but did not shift the broader assessment of his relative standing among the crowded field of lower-polling contenders.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$1,283,198結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETRenan Santos leads trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first-round presidential vote because his Mission Party campaign has consolidated support among younger and digitally engaged voters disillusioned with both Lula and the Bolsonaro-aligned camp. Recent polls place him in the low-to-mid single digits alongside or just behind Augusto Cury, with Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema trailing further. Cury’s late-August surge after a televised debate lifted him to double digits in some surveys, yet Santos retains an edge in social-media reach and anti-establishment positioning. Caiado’s PSD ticket and Zema’s Novo candidacy have struggled to expand beyond regional bases. Legal rulings temporarily restricting Santos’ online advertising and debate participation introduced volatility but did not shift the broader assessment of his relative standing among the crowded field of lower-polling contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions