Democrats’ favored prospects of reclaiming House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that President Trump will face House impeachment before January 2029. Traders price a strong likelihood of Democratic gains sufficient to pass articles of impeachment once the new Congress convenes in 2027, consistent with recent polling showing majority public support for proceedings on grounds such as alleged corruption or executive actions. Multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced in the current Republican-led House, though passage remains blocked until majority control shifts. Senate conviction is viewed as improbable given partisan margins, yet the market focuses solely on House action. Low near-term odds for 2026 reflect the current chamber composition, while longer-term pricing incorporates the two-year window after potential midterm results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
68% 機率
$102,057 交易量
$102,057 交易量
2029-01-19
賺 3.25% 收益
是
68% 機率
$102,057 交易量
$102,057 交易量
2029-01-19
賺 3.25% 收益
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ favored prospects of reclaiming House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that President Trump will face House impeachment before January 2029. Traders price a strong likelihood of Democratic gains sufficient to pass articles of impeachment once the new Congress convenes in 2027, consistent with recent polling showing majority public support for proceedings on grounds such as alleged corruption or executive actions. Multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced in the current Republican-led House, though passage remains blocked until majority control shifts. Senate conviction is viewed as improbable given partisan margins, yet the market focuses solely on House action. Low near-term odds for 2026 reflect the current chamber composition, while longer-term pricing incorporates the two-year window after potential midterm results.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
交易量
$102,057結束日期
2029-01-20市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats’ favored prospects of reclaiming House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that President Trump will face House impeachment before January 2029. Traders price a strong likelihood of Democratic gains sufficient to pass articles of impeachment once the new Congress convenes in 2027, consistent with recent polling showing majority public support for proceedings on grounds such as alleged corruption or executive actions. Multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced in the current Republican-led House, though passage remains blocked until majority control shifts. Senate conviction is viewed as improbable given partisan margins, yet the market focuses solely on House action. Low near-term odds for 2026 reflect the current chamber composition, while longer-term pricing incorporates the two-year window after potential midterm results.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
交易量
$102,057結束日期
2029-01-20市場開放時間
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETDemocrats’ favored prospects of reclaiming House control in the November 2026 midterms represent the central driver behind the 67.5% implied probability that President Trump will face House impeachment before January 2029. Traders price a strong likelihood of Democratic gains sufficient to pass articles of impeachment once the new Congress convenes in 2027, consistent with recent polling showing majority public support for proceedings on grounds such as alleged corruption or executive actions. Multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced in the current Republican-led House, though passage remains blocked until majority control shifts. Senate conviction is viewed as improbable given partisan margins, yet the market focuses solely on House action. Low near-term odds for 2026 reflect the current chamber composition, while longer-term pricing incorporates the two-year window after potential midterm results.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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