Nevada voters approved Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, with 64.4 percent support in 2024, placing the citizen-initiated constitutional amendment on the November 2026 ballot for required second ratification under the state's unique two-election rule. Sustained polling trends near prior margins, minimal organized opposition with negligible fundraising, and alignment with existing statutory protections up to fetal viability have produced broad trader consensus reflected in the 98.9 percent implied probability for passage. The measure faces no significant legislative, court, or campaign developments that would alter its trajectory ahead of election day. Late shifts in turnout patterns, unexpected legal actions removing the question, or unforeseen external events remain the primary low-probability variables that could still influence the final outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
99% 機率
最新
最新
2026-11-02
是
99% 機率
最新
最新
2026-11-02
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).Nevada voters approved Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, with 64.4 percent support in 2024, placing the citizen-initiated constitutional amendment on the November 2026 ballot for required second ratification under the state's unique two-election rule. Sustained polling trends near prior margins, minimal organized opposition with negligible fundraising, and alignment with existing statutory protections up to fetal viability have produced broad trader consensus reflected in the 98.9 percent implied probability for passage. The measure faces no significant legislative, court, or campaign developments that would alter its trajectory ahead of election day. Late shifts in turnout patterns, unexpected legal actions removing the question, or unforeseen external events remain the primary low-probability variables that could still influence the final outcome.
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
市場開放時間： Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
交易量
$951結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETNevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).Nevada voters approved Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, with 64.4 percent support in 2024, placing the citizen-initiated constitutional amendment on the November 2026 ballot for required second ratification under the state's unique two-election rule. Sustained polling trends near prior margins, minimal organized opposition with negligible fundraising, and alignment with existing statutory protections up to fetal viability have produced broad trader consensus reflected in the 98.9 percent implied probability for passage. The measure faces no significant legislative, court, or campaign developments that would alter its trajectory ahead of election day. Late shifts in turnout patterns, unexpected legal actions removing the question, or unforeseen external events remain the primary low-probability variables that could still influence the final outcome.
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No."
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).
交易量
$951結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETNevada voters approved Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, with 64.4 percent support in 2024, placing the citizen-initiated constitutional amendment on the November 2026 ballot for required second ratification under the state's unique two-election rule. Sustained polling trends near prior margins, minimal organized opposition with negligible fundraising, and alignment with existing statutory protections up to fetal viability have produced broad trader consensus reflected in the 98.9 percent implied probability for passage. The measure faces no significant legislative, court, or campaign developments that would alter its trajectory ahead of election day. Late shifts in turnout patterns, unexpected legal actions removing the question, or unforeseen external events remain the primary low-probability variables that could still influence the final outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions