Molly Gray holds an 83% implied probability in the Vermont lieutenant governor market because she secured the Democratic nomination with roughly 61% in the August 11 primary and enters the November 3 general election with prior experience in the office from 2021–2023 plus an established polling edge over Republican incumbent John S. Rodgers. Rodgers, who won his primary unopposed after switching parties, faces headwinds in a state that has favored Democrats in recent statewide contests, though his rural background and focus on costs and property rights keep him competitive at 16.5%. Earlier University of New Hampshire surveys showed Gray ahead in hypothetical matchups, and no major campaign-altering events have emerged since the primaries to shift the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
莫莉·格雷（民主黨）
83%
約翰·S·羅傑斯（共和黨）
16%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
莫莉·格雷（民主黨）
$3,071 交易量
83%
約翰·S·羅傑斯（共和黨）
$2,714 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Molly Gray holds an 83% implied probability in the Vermont lieutenant governor market because she secured the Democratic nomination with roughly 61% in the August 11 primary and enters the November 3 general election with prior experience in the office from 2021–2023 plus an established polling edge over Republican incumbent John S. Rodgers. Rodgers, who won his primary unopposed after switching parties, faces headwinds in a state that has favored Democrats in recent statewide contests, though his rural background and focus on costs and property rights keep him competitive at 16.5%. Earlier University of New Hampshire surveys showed Gray ahead in hypothetical matchups, and no major campaign-altering events have emerged since the primaries to shift the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
交易量
$5,785結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Molly Gray holds an 83% implied probability in the Vermont lieutenant governor market because she secured the Democratic nomination with roughly 61% in the August 11 primary and enters the November 3 general election with prior experience in the office from 2021–2023 plus an established polling edge over Republican incumbent John S. Rodgers. Rodgers, who won his primary unopposed after switching parties, faces headwinds in a state that has favored Democrats in recent statewide contests, though his rural background and focus on costs and property rights keep him competitive at 16.5%. Earlier University of New Hampshire surveys showed Gray ahead in hypothetical matchups, and no major campaign-altering events have emerged since the primaries to shift the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
交易量
$5,785結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ETMolly Gray holds an 83% implied probability in the Vermont lieutenant governor market because she secured the Democratic nomination with roughly 61% in the August 11 primary and enters the November 3 general election with prior experience in the office from 2021–2023 plus an established polling edge over Republican incumbent John S. Rodgers. Rodgers, who won his primary unopposed after switching parties, faces headwinds in a state that has favored Democrats in recent statewide contests, though his rural background and focus on costs and property rights keep him competitive at 16.5%. Earlier University of New Hampshire surveys showed Gray ahead in hypothetical matchups, and no major campaign-altering events have emerged since the primaries to shift the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions