Skip to main content

如需在美國交易，請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 關島總督選舉獲勝者
政治·中期

關島總督選舉獲勝者

icon for 關島總督選舉獲勝者
政治·中期

關島總督選舉獲勝者

Polymarket
最新
Polymarket
最新
icon for Therese Terlaje（民主黨）

Therese Terlaje（民主黨）

$1,073 交易量

69%

icon for 維森特·阿達（共和黨）

維森特·阿達（共和黨）

$484 交易量

32%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Therese Terlaje holds the leading position in the Guam gubernatorial market as the Democratic nominee following her narrow August primary victory over Lt. Gov. Joshua Tenorio, while Vicente Ada secured the Republican nomination after defeating Speaker Frank Blas Jr. Guam’s Democratic lean and the open seat created by term-limited incumbent Lou Leon Guerrero contribute to the trader consensus favoring Terlaje. Both tickets advanced to the November 3 general election alongside running mates Sabina Perez and Edward Calvo. A late August candidate forum addressed shared priorities including economic development, childcare affordability, healthcare access, and public safety, but produced limited differentiation. No major polls or late-breaking events have shifted implied probabilities in recent weeks.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
交易量
$1,557
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Therese Terlaje holds the leading position in the Guam gubernatorial market as the Democratic nominee following her narrow August primary victory over Lt. Gov. Joshua Tenorio, while Vicente Ada secured the Republican nomination after defeating Speaker Frank Blas Jr. Guam’s Democratic lean and the open seat created by term-limited incumbent Lou Leon Guerrero contribute to the trader consensus favoring Terlaje. Both tickets advanced to the November 3 general election alongside running mates Sabina Perez and Edward Calvo. A late August candidate forum addressed shared priorities including economic development, childcare affordability, healthcare access, and public safety, but produced limited differentiation. No major polls or late-breaking events have shifted implied probabilities in recent weeks.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
交易量
$1,557
結束日期
2026-11-03
市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

相關

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 會贏得 2026 年阿拉斯加州州長選舉嗎？

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 會贏得 2026 年阿拉斯加州州長選舉嗎？

60%
是
icon for 民主黨候選人會贏得2026年喬治亞副州長選舉嗎？

民主黨候選人會贏得2026年喬治亞副州長選舉嗎？

53%
是
icon for 民主黨候選人會贏得2026年喬治亞州州務卿選舉嗎？

民主黨候選人會贏得2026年喬治亞州州務卿選舉嗎？

61%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"關島總督選舉獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Therese Terlaje（民主黨）" at 69%, followed by "維森特·阿達（共和黨）" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"關島總督選舉獲勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "關島總督選舉獲勝者," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "關島總督選舉獲勝者" is "Therese Terlaje（民主黨）" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "維森特·阿達（共和黨）" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "關島總督選舉獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.