Traders assign Alibaba the highest implied probability at 31.5% for third place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end of October, followed by Moonshot at 25.5%, while OpenAI and Anthropic sit much lower. Recent leaderboard updates show OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 models dominating top spots after early-September releases, leaving room for cost-effective Chinese alternatives. Alibaba’s Qwen3 series and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 demonstrate competitive agentic coding performance, long-context handling, and strong price-performance ratios that appeal in real-world web development workflows. These dynamics reflect trader focus on sustained momentum in multi-step reasoning benchmarks and potential further model updates before the resolution window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Alibaba 32%
Moonshot 26%
OpenAI 6.3%
Anthropic 5.5%
$36,694 交易量
$36,694 交易量
2026-10-31
Alibaba
32%
Moonshot
26%
OpenAI
6%
Anthropic
5%
SpaceXAI
5%
4%
Meta
3%
Z.ai
2%
Mistral
2%
Thinky
2%
DeepSeek
1%
ByteDance
1%
Tencent
1%
MiniMax
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Alibaba 32%
Moonshot 26%
OpenAI 6.3%
Anthropic 5.5%
$36,694 交易量
$36,694 交易量
2026-10-31
Alibaba
$17,438 交易量
32%
Moonshot
$11,111 交易量
26%
OpenAI
$904 交易量
6%
Anthropic
$658 交易量
5%
SpaceXAI
$659 交易量
5%
$482 交易量
4%
Meta
$496 交易量
3%
Z.ai
$656 交易量
2%
Mistral
$581 交易量
2%
Thinky
$586 交易量
2%
DeepSeek
$580 交易量
1%
ByteDance
$613 交易量
1%
Tencent
$539 交易量
1%
MiniMax
$573 交易量
<1%
Xiaomi
$302 交易量
<1%
Poolside
$515 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign Alibaba the highest implied probability at 31.5% for third place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end of October, followed by Moonshot at 25.5%, while OpenAI and Anthropic sit much lower. Recent leaderboard updates show OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 models dominating top spots after early-September releases, leaving room for cost-effective Chinese alternatives. Alibaba’s Qwen3 series and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 demonstrate competitive agentic coding performance, long-context handling, and strong price-performance ratios that appeal in real-world web development workflows. These dynamics reflect trader focus on sustained momentum in multi-step reasoning benchmarks and potential further model updates before the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
交易量
$36,694結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign Alibaba the highest implied probability at 31.5% for third place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end of October, followed by Moonshot at 25.5%, while OpenAI and Anthropic sit much lower. Recent leaderboard updates show OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 models dominating top spots after early-September releases, leaving room for cost-effective Chinese alternatives. Alibaba’s Qwen3 series and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 demonstrate competitive agentic coding performance, long-context handling, and strong price-performance ratios that appeal in real-world web development workflows. These dynamics reflect trader focus on sustained momentum in multi-step reasoning benchmarks and potential further model updates before the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$36,694結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Aug 12, 2026, 8:01 PM ETTraders assign Alibaba the highest implied probability at 31.5% for third place on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by end of October, followed by Moonshot at 25.5%, while OpenAI and Anthropic sit much lower. Recent leaderboard updates show OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 models dominating top spots after early-September releases, leaving room for cost-effective Chinese alternatives. Alibaba’s Qwen3 series and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 demonstrate competitive agentic coding performance, long-context handling, and strong price-performance ratios that appeal in real-world web development workflows. These dynamics reflect trader focus on sustained momentum in multi-step reasoning benchmarks and potential further model updates before the resolution window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions