PL maintains a commanding position in projections for the most seats following Brazil’s October 4, 2026, Senate election renewing 54 of 81 seats, driven by its existing bench strength, multiple leading candidates across states, and alliances with parties such as PP and União. Statistical models based on hundreds of state-level polls project PL securing around 21 total seats, ahead of MDB and others, reflecting competitive edges in places like Santa Catarina, the Federal District, and several northern and midwestern states. MDB fields a broad but less concentrated slate of incumbents and contenders, while PT and smaller parties trail in most forecasts. Recent polling shows limited movement in the hierarchy, with PL candidates frequently topping or near the top in key races amid stable pre-campaign dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於PL 83%
巴西民主運動黨（MDB） 9.3%
聯盟黨（UNIÃO） 1.0%
社會民主黨（PSD） <1%
$297,516 交易量
$297,516 交易量
2026-10-03
PL
83%
巴西民主運動黨（MDB）
9%
聯盟黨（UNIÃO）
1%
社會民主黨（PSD）
1%
共和黨（REPUBLICANOS）
1%
工人黨（PT）
<1%
PSDB
<1%
進步黨（PP）
<1%
巴西社會黨（PSB）
<1%
新黨（NOVO）
<1%
PODEMOS
<1%
PDT
<1%
PL 83%
巴西民主運動黨（MDB） 9.3%
聯盟黨（UNIÃO） 1.0%
社會民主黨（PSD） <1%
$297,516 交易量
$297,516 交易量
2026-10-03
PL
$260,826 交易量
83%
巴西民主運動黨（MDB）
$8,937 交易量
9%
聯盟黨（UNIÃO）
$2,905 交易量
1%
社會民主黨（PSD）
$2,678 交易量
1%
共和黨（REPUBLICANOS）
$3,482 交易量
1%
工人黨（PT）
$2,976 交易量
<1%
PSDB
$2,591 交易量
<1%
進步黨（PP）
$2,514 交易量
<1%
巴西社會黨（PSB）
$2,364 交易量
<1%
新黨（NOVO）
$2,930 交易量
<1%
PODEMOS
$2,666 交易量
<1%
PDT
$2,648 交易量
<1%
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).PL maintains a commanding position in projections for the most seats following Brazil’s October 4, 2026, Senate election renewing 54 of 81 seats, driven by its existing bench strength, multiple leading candidates across states, and alliances with parties such as PP and União. Statistical models based on hundreds of state-level polls project PL securing around 21 total seats, ahead of MDB and others, reflecting competitive edges in places like Santa Catarina, the Federal District, and several northern and midwestern states. MDB fields a broad but less concentrated slate of incumbents and contenders, while PT and smaller parties trail in most forecasts. Recent polling shows limited movement in the hierarchy, with PL candidates frequently topping or near the top in key races amid stable pre-campaign dynamics.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$297,516結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETThe next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).PL maintains a commanding position in projections for the most seats following Brazil’s October 4, 2026, Senate election renewing 54 of 81 seats, driven by its existing bench strength, multiple leading candidates across states, and alliances with parties such as PP and União. Statistical models based on hundreds of state-level polls project PL securing around 21 total seats, ahead of MDB and others, reflecting competitive edges in places like Santa Catarina, the Federal District, and several northern and midwestern states. MDB fields a broad but less concentrated slate of incumbents and contenders, while PT and smaller parties trail in most forecasts. Recent polling shows limited movement in the hierarchy, with PL candidates frequently topping or near the top in key races amid stable pre-campaign dynamics.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$297,516結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETPL maintains a commanding position in projections for the most seats following Brazil’s October 4, 2026, Senate election renewing 54 of 81 seats, driven by its existing bench strength, multiple leading candidates across states, and alliances with parties such as PP and União. Statistical models based on hundreds of state-level polls project PL securing around 21 total seats, ahead of MDB and others, reflecting competitive edges in places like Santa Catarina, the Federal District, and several northern and midwestern states. MDB fields a broad but less concentrated slate of incumbents and contenders, while PT and smaller parties trail in most forecasts. Recent polling shows limited movement in the hierarchy, with PL candidates frequently topping or near the top in key races amid stable pre-campaign dynamics.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions