Recent Missouri Supreme Court rulings have directed use of the 2022 congressional map for the November 3 general election rather than the legislature’s redrawn lines, preserving a more Democratic-leaning district centered on Kansas City. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who won his August primary unopposed, benefits from this stability after previously facing a map that added rural Republican areas. Republican nominee Rick Brattin, who secured his party’s nomination under the new boundaries, now campaigns on the older lines that favor Cleaver’s established base and turnout patterns. With limited independent polling available and ongoing legal uncertainty around a potential referendum, traders assign Cleaver a modest edge reflecting incumbency advantages and the restored district composition.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$28,689 交易量
$28,689 交易量
2026-11-03
伊曼紐·克利弗 (民主黨)
55%
瑞克·布拉廷（共和黨）
43%
$28,689 交易量
$28,689 交易量
2026-11-03
伊曼紐·克利弗 (民主黨)
$11,506 交易量
55%
瑞克·布拉廷（共和黨）
$17,183 交易量
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent Missouri Supreme Court rulings have directed use of the 2022 congressional map for the November 3 general election rather than the legislature’s redrawn lines, preserving a more Democratic-leaning district centered on Kansas City. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who won his August primary unopposed, benefits from this stability after previously facing a map that added rural Republican areas. Republican nominee Rick Brattin, who secured his party’s nomination under the new boundaries, now campaigns on the older lines that favor Cleaver’s established base and turnout patterns. With limited independent polling available and ongoing legal uncertainty around a potential referendum, traders assign Cleaver a modest edge reflecting incumbency advantages and the restored district composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
交易量
$28,689結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent Missouri Supreme Court rulings have directed use of the 2022 congressional map for the November 3 general election rather than the legislature’s redrawn lines, preserving a more Democratic-leaning district centered on Kansas City. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who won his August primary unopposed, benefits from this stability after previously facing a map that added rural Republican areas. Republican nominee Rick Brattin, who secured his party’s nomination under the new boundaries, now campaigns on the older lines that favor Cleaver’s established base and turnout patterns. With limited independent polling available and ongoing legal uncertainty around a potential referendum, traders assign Cleaver a modest edge reflecting incumbency advantages and the restored district composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,689結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETRecent Missouri Supreme Court rulings have directed use of the 2022 congressional map for the November 3 general election rather than the legislature’s redrawn lines, preserving a more Democratic-leaning district centered on Kansas City. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who won his August primary unopposed, benefits from this stability after previously facing a map that added rural Republican areas. Republican nominee Rick Brattin, who secured his party’s nomination under the new boundaries, now campaigns on the older lines that favor Cleaver’s established base and turnout patterns. With limited independent polling available and ongoing legal uncertainty around a potential referendum, traders assign Cleaver a modest edge reflecting incumbency advantages and the restored district composition.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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