Incumbent Ann Wagner maintains a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and her strong primary performance. Wagner secured the GOP nomination with nearly 74 percent of the vote in August, while Democrat Fred Wellman emerged from a tight primary to face her. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s suburban St. Louis composition and historical voting patterns. Recent redistricting litigation, resolved in favor of using the 2022 maps for November, has stabilized the boundaries without major shifts favoring Democrats. Wellman’s military background and fundraising have kept the contest viable on paper, yet trader pricing aligns with Wagner’s incumbency advantages and the limited recent polling movement in a midterm environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$11,666 交易量
$11,666 交易量
2026-11-02
安·瓦格納（共和黨）
62%
弗雷德·韋爾曼（民主黨）
38%
$11,666 交易量
$11,666 交易量
2026-11-02
安·瓦格納（共和黨）
$6,073 交易量
62%
弗雷德·韋爾曼（民主黨）
$5,593 交易量
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ann Wagner maintains a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and her strong primary performance. Wagner secured the GOP nomination with nearly 74 percent of the vote in August, while Democrat Fred Wellman emerged from a tight primary to face her. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s suburban St. Louis composition and historical voting patterns. Recent redistricting litigation, resolved in favor of using the 2022 maps for November, has stabilized the boundaries without major shifts favoring Democrats. Wellman’s military background and fundraising have kept the contest viable on paper, yet trader pricing aligns with Wagner’s incumbency advantages and the limited recent polling movement in a midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$11,666結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Ann Wagner maintains a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and her strong primary performance. Wagner secured the GOP nomination with nearly 74 percent of the vote in August, while Democrat Fred Wellman emerged from a tight primary to face her. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s suburban St. Louis composition and historical voting patterns. Recent redistricting litigation, resolved in favor of using the 2022 maps for November, has stabilized the boundaries without major shifts favoring Democrats. Wellman’s military background and fundraising have kept the contest viable on paper, yet trader pricing aligns with Wagner’s incumbency advantages and the limited recent polling movement in a midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,666結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETIncumbent Ann Wagner maintains a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s consistent Republican tilt and her strong primary performance. Wagner secured the GOP nomination with nearly 74 percent of the vote in August, while Democrat Fred Wellman emerged from a tight primary to face her. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s suburban St. Louis composition and historical voting patterns. Recent redistricting litigation, resolved in favor of using the 2022 maps for November, has stabilized the boundaries without major shifts favoring Democrats. Wellman’s military background and fundraising have kept the contest viable on paper, yet trader pricing aligns with Wagner’s incumbency advantages and the limited recent polling movement in a midterm environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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