Kevin Hern secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open U.S. Senate seat in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote, backed by an early endorsement from President Trump and limited opposition in the deeply conservative state. The seat opened after former Senator Markwayne Mullin resigned to become Homeland Security Secretary, with an interim appointee barred from running for a full term. N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas emerged as the Democratic nominee after an August runoff but faces structural disadvantages in a state where Republicans have dominated federal elections for decades and recent presidential margins exceeded 30 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest as solidly or safely Republican. Hern’s commanding market position reflects this partisan baseline, his fundraising edge, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could still arise from unforeseen events such as candidate health issues or significant national political realignments before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於奧克拉荷馬州參議院選舉贏家
奧克拉荷馬州參議院選舉贏家
$26,185 交易量
$26,185 交易量
2026-11-02
凱文·赫恩（共和黨）
96%
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas（民主黨）
3%
$26,185 交易量
$26,185 交易量
2026-11-02
凱文·赫恩（共和黨）
$19,603 交易量
96%
N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas（民主黨）
$6,582 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kevin Hern secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open U.S. Senate seat in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote, backed by an early endorsement from President Trump and limited opposition in the deeply conservative state. The seat opened after former Senator Markwayne Mullin resigned to become Homeland Security Secretary, with an interim appointee barred from running for a full term. N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas emerged as the Democratic nominee after an August runoff but faces structural disadvantages in a state where Republicans have dominated federal elections for decades and recent presidential margins exceeded 30 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest as solidly or safely Republican. Hern’s commanding market position reflects this partisan baseline, his fundraising edge, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could still arise from unforeseen events such as candidate health issues or significant national political realignments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$26,185結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kevin Hern secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open U.S. Senate seat in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote, backed by an early endorsement from President Trump and limited opposition in the deeply conservative state. The seat opened after former Senator Markwayne Mullin resigned to become Homeland Security Secretary, with an interim appointee barred from running for a full term. N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas emerged as the Democratic nominee after an August runoff but faces structural disadvantages in a state where Republicans have dominated federal elections for decades and recent presidential margins exceeded 30 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest as solidly or safely Republican. Hern’s commanding market position reflects this partisan baseline, his fundraising edge, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could still arise from unforeseen events such as candidate health issues or significant national political realignments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$26,185結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETKevin Hern secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s open U.S. Senate seat in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote, backed by an early endorsement from President Trump and limited opposition in the deeply conservative state. The seat opened after former Senator Markwayne Mullin resigned to become Homeland Security Secretary, with an interim appointee barred from running for a full term. N’Kiyla Jasmine Thomas emerged as the Democratic nominee after an August runoff but faces structural disadvantages in a state where Republicans have dominated federal elections for decades and recent presidential margins exceeded 30 points. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest as solidly or safely Republican. Hern’s commanding market position reflects this partisan baseline, his fundraising edge, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. Shifts could still arise from unforeseen events such as candidate health issues or significant national political realignments before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions