Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models indicate the northeast monsoon is delivering cooler, moist northeasterly flow to northern Taiwan, with Taipei's overnight minimum on September 11 expected near 23–25 °C amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers. High dew points near 23–24 °C limit radiative cooling, while moderate winds and humidity suppress the typical nocturnal drop. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in monsoon strength and timing of any rain bands, keeping the 23 °C, 24 °C, and 25 °C outcomes closely matched in market-implied odds. Updated CWA guidance and overnight observations tonight will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日臺北氣溫最低?
22°C 39%
26°C 38%
28°C 38%
24°C 32%
20°C或以下
14%
21°C
18%
22°C
39%
23°C
24%
24°C
32%
25°C
30%
26°C
38%
27°C
30%
28°C
38%
29°C
14%
30°C或以上
14%
22°C 39%
26°C 38%
28°C 38%
24°C 32%
20°C或以下
14%
21°C
18%
22°C
39%
23°C
24%
24°C
32%
25°C
30%
26°C
38%
27°C
30%
28°C
38%
29°C
14%
30°C或以上
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global models indicate the northeast monsoon is delivering cooler, moist northeasterly flow to northern Taiwan, with Taipei's overnight minimum on September 11 expected near 23–25 °C amid persistent cloud cover and scattered showers. High dew points near 23–24 °C limit radiative cooling, while moderate winds and humidity suppress the typical nocturnal drop. Model spreads arise mainly from differences in monsoon strength and timing of any rain bands, keeping the 23 °C, 24 °C, and 25 °C outcomes closely matched in market-implied odds. Updated CWA guidance and overnight observations tonight will refine the final range ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions