Recent weather observations and forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Jinan experiencing a sharp cooldown on September 11, 2026, with overnight lows projected to reach 12°C or below amid clear skies and northerly flow. This aligns with the market's 99.9% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital on verified station data. Typical September minimums hover near 18°C, making this event a notable deviation driven by recent atmospheric patterns. The primary resolution threshold is the official daily minimum at Jinan's primary weather station. A late-day warming trend or measurement revision above 12°C remains the main scenario that could shift odds, though current data consensus makes it unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日濟南最低氣溫?
12°C或以下 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$3,898 交易量
$3,898 交易量
12°C或以下
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或以上
否
12°C或以下 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$3,898 交易量
$3,898 交易量
12°C或以下
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或以上
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 10, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Recent weather observations and forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Jinan experiencing a sharp cooldown on September 11, 2026, with overnight lows projected to reach 12°C or below amid clear skies and northerly flow. This aligns with the market's 99.9% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting trader consensus backed by real capital on verified station data. Typical September minimums hover near 18°C, making this event a notable deviation driven by recent atmospheric patterns. The primary resolution threshold is the official daily minimum at Jinan's primary weather station. A late-day warming trend or measurement revision above 12°C remains the main scenario that could shift odds, though current data consensus makes it unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions