Short-term numerical weather prediction models, including those from MetService and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a daily maximum near 15°C for Wellington on September 11 under mainly fine conditions with northwest winds following the passage of a cold front. This setup favors modest daytime warming after today’s southerly change and rain, consistent with the market’s 60.5% implied probability on 15°C and secondary weighting on 14°C. El Niño-driven westerly flow adds typical spring variability, though current guidance shows limited deviation risk below 13°C or above 16°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the 11th will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
9月11日惠靈頓的最高溫度？
15°C 61%
14°C 23%
16°C 14%
12°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
9°C或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
23%
15°C
61%
16°C
14%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C或以上
<1%
15°C 61%
14°C 23%
16°C 14%
12°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
9°C或以下
$528 交易量
<1%
10°C
$176 交易量
<1%
11°C
$194 交易量
1%
12°C
$621 交易量
2%
13°C
$1,654 交易量
2%
14°C
$1,149 交易量
23%
15°C
$2,819 交易量
61%
16°C
$1,221 交易量
14%
17°C
$225 交易量
2%
18°C
$350 交易量
<1%
19°C或以上
$471 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models, including those from MetService and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a daily maximum near 15°C for Wellington on September 11 under mainly fine conditions with northwest winds following the passage of a cold front. This setup favors modest daytime warming after today’s southerly change and rain, consistent with the market’s 60.5% implied probability on 15°C and secondary weighting on 14°C. El Niño-driven westerly flow adds typical spring variability, though current guidance shows limited deviation risk below 13°C or above 16°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the 11th will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$9,409結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models, including those from MetService and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a daily maximum near 15°C for Wellington on September 11 under mainly fine conditions with northwest winds following the passage of a cold front. This setup favors modest daytime warming after today’s southerly change and rain, consistent with the market’s 60.5% implied probability on 15°C and secondary weighting on 14°C. El Niño-driven westerly flow adds typical spring variability, though current guidance shows limited deviation risk below 13°C or above 16°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the 11th will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,409結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETShort-term numerical weather prediction models, including those from MetService and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a daily maximum near 15°C for Wellington on September 11 under mainly fine conditions with northwest winds following the passage of a cold front. This setup favors modest daytime warming after today’s southerly change and rain, consistent with the market’s 60.5% implied probability on 15°C and secondary weighting on 14°C. El Niño-driven westerly flow adds typical spring variability, though current guidance shows limited deviation risk below 13°C or above 16°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings ahead of the 11th will provide the next key data points for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions