Trader consensus on a 26°C high for Seoul/Incheon on September 14 reflects near-unanimous guidance from official meteorological models and observations, including GFS runs and Korea Meteorological Administration data showing peak afternoon temperatures reaching exactly that level under partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–7 mph, and minimal precipitation risk. Current readings near 23–26°C align with this trajectory, consistent with September climatology of moderating highs after summer peaks. The implied probability near 100% captures the narrow uncertainty range in short-term forecasts, where small deviations in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could still shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs or real-time station data from Incheon International Airport would be the key triggers capable of altering positioning before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
9月14日首爾（仁川）最高溫度？
26°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$79,117 交易量
$79,117 交易量
2026-09-14
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$79,117 交易量
$79,117 交易量
2026-09-14
20°C或以下
$538 交易量
否
21°C
$2,090 交易量
否
22°C
$991 交易量
否
23°C
$3,459 交易量
否
24°C
$12,469 交易量
否
25°C
$25,515 交易量
否
26°C
$13,223 交易量
是
27°C
$8,596 交易量
否
28°C
$5,724 交易量
否
29°C
$4,389 交易量
否
30°C或以上
$2,123 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 26°C high for Seoul/Incheon on September 14 reflects near-unanimous guidance from official meteorological models and observations, including GFS runs and Korea Meteorological Administration data showing peak afternoon temperatures reaching exactly that level under partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–7 mph, and minimal precipitation risk. Current readings near 23–26°C align with this trajectory, consistent with September climatology of moderating highs after summer peaks. The implied probability near 100% captures the narrow uncertainty range in short-term forecasts, where small deviations in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could still shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs or real-time station data from Incheon International Airport would be the key triggers capable of altering positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$79,117結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 26°C high for Seoul/Incheon on September 14 reflects near-unanimous guidance from official meteorological models and observations, including GFS runs and Korea Meteorological Administration data showing peak afternoon temperatures reaching exactly that level under partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–7 mph, and minimal precipitation risk. Current readings near 23–26°C align with this trajectory, consistent with September climatology of moderating highs after summer peaks. The implied probability near 100% captures the narrow uncertainty range in short-term forecasts, where small deviations in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could still shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs or real-time station data from Incheon International Airport would be the key triggers capable of altering positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$79,117結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on a 26°C high for Seoul/Incheon on September 14 reflects near-unanimous guidance from official meteorological models and observations, including GFS runs and Korea Meteorological Administration data showing peak afternoon temperatures reaching exactly that level under partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–7 mph, and minimal precipitation risk. Current readings near 23–26°C align with this trajectory, consistent with September climatology of moderating highs after summer peaks. The implied probability near 100% captures the narrow uncertainty range in short-term forecasts, where small deviations in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could still shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs or real-time station data from Incheon International Airport would be the key triggers capable of altering positioning before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions