Maxine Waters secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary for California's 43rd congressional district with nearly 64 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican challenger Cristian Morales. The seat's D+27 partisan voter index, consistent Democratic registration edge, and history of 70-plus percent margins for the incumbent underpin trader consensus on her strong position heading into the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and negligible reported fundraising for Morales. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts among core voting blocs or national political swings could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's structural fundamentals constrain those possibilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$31,830 交易量
$31,830 交易量
2026-11-02
麥欣·華特斯（民主黨）
95%
克里斯汀·莫拉萊斯（共和黨）
3%
$31,830 交易量
$31,830 交易量
2026-11-02
麥欣·華特斯（民主黨）
$10,935 交易量
95%
克里斯汀·莫拉萊斯（共和黨）
$20,895 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maxine Waters secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary for California's 43rd congressional district with nearly 64 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican challenger Cristian Morales. The seat's D+27 partisan voter index, consistent Democratic registration edge, and history of 70-plus percent margins for the incumbent underpin trader consensus on her strong position heading into the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and negligible reported fundraising for Morales. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts among core voting blocs or national political swings could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's structural fundamentals constrain those possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$31,830結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maxine Waters secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary for California's 43rd congressional district with nearly 64 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican challenger Cristian Morales. The seat's D+27 partisan voter index, consistent Democratic registration edge, and history of 70-plus percent margins for the incumbent underpin trader consensus on her strong position heading into the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and negligible reported fundraising for Morales. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts among core voting blocs or national political swings could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's structural fundamentals constrain those possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$31,830結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETMaxine Waters secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary for California's 43rd congressional district with nearly 64 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican challenger Cristian Morales. The seat's D+27 partisan voter index, consistent Democratic registration edge, and history of 70-plus percent margins for the incumbent underpin trader consensus on her strong position heading into the November general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the race as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and negligible reported fundraising for Morales. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts among core voting blocs or national political swings could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's structural fundamentals constrain those possibilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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